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Updated·Data: Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR·Data delayed ~5 min
MO

Deep Dive MO Top Monthly Gainer Same-Store Sales result Top

NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Tobacco

$70.61

+1.63 (+2.36%)

MO Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

MO Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

MO Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Marktkapitalisierung

$117.90B

P/E

14.87

Forward P/E

12.04

PEG

2.64

P/B

-44.19

EPS

$4.75

Dividendenrendite

6.29%

52W Spanne

$54.70 – $77.06

Beta

0.49

Volumen

7.8M

ROE

Gewinnmarge

39.0%

Umsatzwachstum

1.2%

Bruttomarge

87.0%

EV/EBITDA

8.91

Analystenziel

$70.00

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 14.9x. Forward P/E of 12.0x implies earnings expansion expected. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.91x. Market capitalization is $117.90B. Revenue is growing at 1.2% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -2.7%. Profit margins are 39.0%. Beta of 0.49 indicates defensive profile.

Analyst Consensus

Empfehlung

none

Ziel niedrig

$58.00

Ziel Mittel

$70.00

Ziel hoch

$82.00

Basierend auf 11 Analysten

Über MO

Altria Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells smokeable and oral tobacco products in the United States. It offers cigarettes primarily under the Marlboro brand; large cigars and pipe tobacco under the Black & Mild brand; moist smokeless tobacco and oral tobacco products under the Copenhagen, Skoal, Red Seal, and Husky brands; oral nicotine pouches under the on! brand; and e-vapor products under the NJOY ACE brand. The company sells its products to distributors, as well as large retail organizations, such as chain stores. Altria Group, Inc. was founded in 1822 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

United States5,900 MitarbeiterWebseite

MO Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation, Earnings decline

Data confidence

High

Altria Group, Inc. (MO) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $50.34 by approximately 28.7%. Trailing P/E: 14.9x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 39.0%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 1.2% and earnings growth of -2.7%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.49. Consensus: none.

MO Deep Dive Analysis

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 14.9x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Stable

Rev 1.2%

Revenue is moving sideways.

Risk

Low

Beta 0.49

Movement is likely to track the broader market.

Valuation Snapshot

Altria Group, Inc. (MO) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $50.34 by approximately 28.7%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 14.9x. Forward P/E of 12.0x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 5.8x. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.9x. Market capitalization is $117.90B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 1.2% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -2.7%. Profit margins are 39.0%. Return on assets is 29.5%.

Why it matters: Stable revenue is fine, but watch for margin pressure that could limit profit growth.

Risk Profile

Beta of 0.49 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $22.21B.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $70.00 implies 0.9% downside. Target range spans $58.00 to $82.00. 11 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: none.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Investor Fit

Free cash flow yield of 7.7% is attractive for cash-flow-focused investors.

Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, market cap: Yahoo Finance (delayed ~5 min)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst targets: Yahoo Finance consensus (may lag)
  • Insider trades: SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair Value: 7-model consensus (DCF, Graham, P/E, P/S, DDM, EV/EBITDA, Div Yield) — trimmed inverse-variance weighted
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Live Price) / Live Price × 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation(±25) + Whale(±10) + Macro(±10) + Technical(±10). Analyst consensus shown separately.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

MO Overvalued

Altria Group, Inc. (MO) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $50.34 by approximately 28.7%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs MO stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, MO appears to trade above fair value by approximately 28.7%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is MO fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for MO is $50.34, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is MO compared with other stocks?
MO carries a beta of 0.49 suggests a defensive profile. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs MO still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 1.2% and earnings contraction of 2.7%. Profit margins are 39.0%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about MO?
Analyst consensus target is $70.00, implying 0.9% downside. The street recommendation is "none".
DividendDoes MO pay a dividend?
Yes. MO currently offers a dividend yield of 6.3%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for MO?
Key catalysts include Consumer Defensive sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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Daten: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub