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EnergyUpdatedΒ·Data: Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGARΒ·Data delayed ~5 min
CV

Analysis CVX (Chevron) Earnings Surprise Lease Liability

NYQ Β· Energy Β· Oil & Gas Integrated

$217.77

+5.60 (+2.64%)

OverviewTechnicalRiskWhaleEarningsOptionsShort InterestESG

CVX Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

CVX Stock Snapshot β€” Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

CVX Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Market Cap

$427.18B

P/E Ratio

20.94

Forward P/E

16.16

PEG Ratio

0.95

P/B Ratio

2.25

EPS

$10.40

Dividend Yield

3.36%

52W Range

$146.49 – $217.78

Beta

0.49

Volume

9.5M

ROE

12.2%

Profit Margin

9.8%

Revenue Growth

53.5%

Gross Margin

44.3%

EV/EBITDA

8.89

Analyst Target

$221.21

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 20.9x. Forward P/E of 16.2x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 2.25x. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.89x. Market capitalization is $427.18B. Revenue is growing at 53.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 321.9%. Profit margins are 9.8%. Return on equity is 12.2%. Beta of 0.49 indicates defensive profile.

Analyst Consensus

Recommendation

Buy

Low Target

$175.00

Mean Target

$221.21

High Target

$243.00

Based on 24 analysts

About Chevron

Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the integrated energy and chemicals operations. It operates through Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment engages in the exploration for, development, production, and transportation of crude oil and natural gas; processing, liquefaction, transportation, and regasification of liquefied natural gas; transportation of crude oil through pipelines; transportation, storage, and marketing of natural gas; carbon capture and storage; and operation of a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment refines crude oil into petroleum products; markets crude oil, refined products, and lubricants; manufactures and markets renewable fuels; transports crude oil and refined products through pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufactures and markets commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company operates in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and Australia. The company was formerly known as ChevronTexaco Corporation and changed its name to Chevron Corporation in May 2005. Chevron Corporation was founded in 1879 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

United States43,039 employeesWebsite β†—

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CVX Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

Growth-oriented investors

Watch out for

Premium valuation

Data confidence

High

Chevron Corporation (CVX) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $113.25 by approximately 48.0%. Trailing P/E: 20.9x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 9.8% and return on equity of 12.2%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 53.5% and earnings growth of 321.9%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.49. Consensus: buy.

CVX Deep Dive Analysis

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 20.9x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Expanding

Rev 53.5%

Revenue is outpacing the market.

Risk

Low

Beta 0.49

Movement is likely to track the broader market.

Valuation Snapshot

Chevron Corporation (CVX) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $113.25 by approximately 48.0%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 20.9x. Forward P/E of 16.2x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 2.0x. Price-to-book is 2.2x. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.9x. Market capitalization is $427.18B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 53.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 321.9%. Profit margins are 9.8%. Return on equity is 12.2%. Return on assets is 5.9%.

Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.

Risk Profile

Beta of 0.49 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $28.55B.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $221.21 implies 1.6% upside. Target range spans $175.00 to $243.00. 24 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Investor Fit

Premium valuation is supported by above-average growth, potentially fitting growth-oriented strategies.

Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, market cap: Yahoo Finance (delayed ~5 min)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst targets: Yahoo Finance consensus (may lag)
  • Insider trades: SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair Value: 7-model consensus (DCF, Graham, P/E, P/S, DDM, EV/EBITDA, Div Yield) β€” trimmed inverse-variance weighted
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value βˆ’ Live Price) / Live Price Γ— 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation(Β±25) + Whale(Β±10) + Macro(Β±10) + Technical(Β±10). Analyst consensus shown separately.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

CVX Overvalued

Chevron Corporation (CVX) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $113.25 by approximately 48.0%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs CVX stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, CVX appears to trade above fair value by approximately 48.0%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is CVX fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for CVX is $113.25, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is CVX compared with other stocks?
CVX carries a beta of 0.49 suggests a defensive profile. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs CVX still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 53.5% and earnings growth of 321.9%. Profit margins are 9.8%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about CVX?
Analyst consensus target is $221.21, implying 1.6% upside. The street recommendation is "buy".
DividendDoes CVX pay a dividend?
Yes. CVX currently offers a dividend yield of 3.4%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for CVX?
Key catalysts include Energy sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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About the Author

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) β€” Founder

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.

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Investment Disclaimer: QuantSoar is for informational purposes only. We do not provide personalized investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor. SEC

Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.