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EnergyUpdatedΒ·Data: Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGARΒ·Data delayed ~5 min
CO

Breakdown COP Price Target Update Top Monthly Gainer Bear

NYQ Β· Energy Β· Oil & Gas E&P

$136.67

-0.68 (-0.50%)

OverviewTechnicalRiskWhaleEarningsOptionsShort InterestESG

COP Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

COP Stock Snapshot β€” Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

COP Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Market Cap

$164.19B

P/E Ratio

18.08

Forward P/E

14.10

PEG Ratio

1.24

P/B Ratio

2.51

EPS

$7.56

Dividend Yield

2.46%

52W Range

$85.57 – $139.82

Beta

0.13

Volume

6.4M

ROE

14.2%

Profit Margin

14.4%

Revenue Growth

35.5%

Gross Margin

47.6%

EV/EBITDA

6.71

Analyst Target

$145.44

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 18.1x. Forward P/E of 14.1x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 2.51x. EV/EBITDA sits at 6.71x. Market capitalization is $164.19B. Revenue is growing at 35.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 107.0%. Profit margins are 14.4%. Return on equity is 14.2%. Beta of 0.13 indicates defensive profile.

Analyst Consensus

Recommendation

Buy

Low Target

$126.00

Mean Target

$145.44

High Target

$189.00

Based on 25 analysts

About COP

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids. It operates in five segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe, Middle East and North Africa; and Asia Pacific. The company's portfolio includes unconventional plays in North America; conventional assets in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia; global LNG developments; oil sands assets in Canada; and an inventory of global exploration prospects. It serves in the United States, Canada, China, Equatorial Guinea, Libya, Malaysia, Norway, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and internationally. ConocoPhillips was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

United States9,600 employeesWebsite β†—

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COP Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

Growth-oriented investors

Watch out for

Premium valuation

Data confidence

High

ConocoPhillips (COP) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $81.73 by approximately 40.2%. Trailing P/E: 18.1x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 14.4% and return on equity of 14.2%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 35.5% and earnings growth of 107.0%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.13. Consensus: buy.

COP Deep Dive Analysis

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 18.1x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Expanding

Rev 35.5%

Revenue is outpacing the market.

Risk

Low

Beta 0.13

Movement is likely to track the broader market.

Valuation Snapshot

ConocoPhillips (COP) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $81.73 by approximately 40.2%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 18.1x. Forward P/E of 14.1x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 2.5x. Price-to-book is 2.5x. EV/EBITDA sits at 6.7x. Market capitalization is $164.19B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 35.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 107.0%. Profit margins are 14.4%. Return on equity is 14.2%. Return on assets is 7.5%.

Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.

Risk Profile

Beta of 0.13 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $15.60B.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $145.44 implies 6.4% upside. Target range spans $126.00 to $189.00. 25 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Investor Fit

Premium valuation is supported by above-average growth, potentially fitting growth-oriented strategies.

Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, market cap: Yahoo Finance (delayed ~5 min)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst targets: Yahoo Finance consensus (may lag)
  • Insider trades: SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair Value: 7-model consensus (DCF, Graham, P/E, P/S, DDM, EV/EBITDA, Div Yield) β€” trimmed inverse-variance weighted
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value βˆ’ Live Price) / Live Price Γ— 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation(Β±25) + Whale(Β±10) + Macro(Β±10) + Technical(Β±10). Analyst consensus shown separately.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

COP Overvalued

ConocoPhillips (COP) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $81.73 by approximately 40.2%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs COP stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, COP appears to trade above fair value by approximately 40.2%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is COP fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for COP is $81.73, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is COP compared with other stocks?
COP carries a beta of 0.13 suggests a defensive profile. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs COP still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 35.5% and earnings growth of 107.0%. Profit margins are 14.4%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about COP?
Analyst consensus target is $145.44, implying 6.4% upside. The street recommendation is "buy".
DividendDoes COP pay a dividend?
Yes. COP currently offers a dividend yield of 2.5%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for COP?
Key catalysts include Energy sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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Phasakorn Traklang (Peach)

About the Author

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) β€” Founder

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.

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Investment Disclaimer: QuantSoar is for informational purposes only. We do not provide personalized investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor. SEC

Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.