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Updated·Data: Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR·Data delayed ~5 min
WM

Deep Dive WMT (Walmart) Supply Chain Institutional Favorite

NMS · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

$108.75

-0.33 (-0.30%)

WMT Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

WMT Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

WMT Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

時価総額

$865.44B

P/E

39.40

順P/E

33.66

PEG

4.16

P/B

9.18

EPS

$2.76

配当利回り

0.91%

52週高安

$98.88 – $135.16

ベータ

0.59

出来高

9.4M

ROE

22.3%

利益率

3.0%

収益成長率

5.9%

粗利益率

24.8%

EV/EBITDA

21.23

アナリスト目標株価

$127.42

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 39.4x. Forward P/E of 33.7x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 9.18x. EV/EBITDA sits at 21.23x. Market capitalization is $865.44B. Revenue is growing at 5.9% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -9.1%. Profit margins are 3.0%. Return on equity is 22.3%. Beta of 0.59 indicates defensive profile.

Analyst Consensus

推奨

Buy

目標株価(低)

$81.00

目標株価(平均)

$127.42

目標株価(高)

$155.00

40人のアナリストに基づく

Walmartについて

Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail and wholesale stores and clubs, ecommerce websites, and mobile applications worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club U.S. It operates supercenters, supermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, and discount stores under Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands; membership-only warehouse clubs; and ecommerce websites, such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, PhonePe and other sites. It offers grocery items, including dry grocery, snacks, dairy, meat, produce, deli and bakery, frozen foods, alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages, as well as consumables, such as health and beauty aids, pet supplies, household chemicals, paper goods, and baby products; and fuel and other categories. In addition, it is involved in the provision of health and wellness products covering pharmacy, optical and hearing services, over-the-counter drugs, and protein and nutrition products; and home, hardlines, and seasonal items, including home improvement, outdoor living, gardening, furniture, apparel, jewelry, tools and power equipment, housewares, toys, and mattresses. Further, the company offers consumer electronics and accessories, software, video games, office supplies, appliances, and third-party gift cards. Additionally, it operates digital payment platforms; offers financial services and related products, including money transfers, bill payments, money orders, check cashing, prepaid access, co-branded credit cards, installment lending, and earned wage access; and markets lines of merchandise under private and licensed brands. The company was formerly known as Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. and changed its name to Walmart Inc. in February 2018. Walmart Inc. was founded in 1945 and is based in Bentonville, Arkansas.

United States2,100,000 従業員Webサイト

WMT Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation, Earnings decline

Data confidence

High

Walmart Inc. (WMT) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $31.26 by approximately 71.3%. Trailing P/E: 39.4x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 3.0% and return on equity of 22.3%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 5.9% and earnings growth of -9.1%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.59. Consensus: buy.

WMT Deep Dive Analysis

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 39.4x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Expanding

Rev 5.9%

Revenue is outpacing the market.

Risk

Low

Beta 0.59

Movement is likely to track the broader market.

Valuation Snapshot

Walmart Inc. (WMT) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $31.26 by approximately 71.3%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 39.4x. Forward P/E of 33.7x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 1.2x. Price-to-book is 9.2x. EV/EBITDA sits at 21.2x. Market capitalization is $865.44B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 5.9% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -9.1%. Profit margins are 3.0%. Return on equity is 22.3%. Return on assets is 6.4%.

Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.

Risk Profile

Beta of 0.59 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $63.56B.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $127.42 implies 17.2% upside. Target range spans $81.00 to $155.00. 40 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, market cap: Yahoo Finance (delayed ~5 min)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst targets: Yahoo Finance consensus (may lag)
  • Insider trades: SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair Value: 7-model consensus (DCF, Graham, P/E, P/S, DDM, EV/EBITDA, Div Yield) — trimmed inverse-variance weighted
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Live Price) / Live Price × 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation(±25) + Whale(±10) + Macro(±10) + Technical(±10). Analyst consensus shown separately.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

WMT Overvalued

Walmart Inc. (WMT) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $31.26 by approximately 71.3%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs WMT stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, WMT appears to trade above fair value by approximately 71.3%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is WMT fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for WMT is $31.26, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is WMT compared with other stocks?
WMT carries a beta of 0.59 suggests a defensive profile. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs WMT still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 5.9% and earnings contraction of 9.1%. Profit margins are 3.0%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about WMT?
Analyst consensus target is $127.42, implying 17.2% upside. The street recommendation is "buy".
DividendDoes WMT pay a dividend?
Yes. WMT currently offers a dividend yield of 0.9%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for WMT?
Key catalysts include Consumer Defensive sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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データ: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub