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Communication ServicesUpdatedΒ·Data: Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGARΒ·Data delayed ~5 min
NF

Snapshot NFLX (Netflix) Breakout Candidate Lease Liability

NMS Β· Communication Services Β· Entertainment

$80.32

+2.92 (+3.77%)

NFLX Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

NFLX Stock Snapshot β€” Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

NFLX Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Market Cap

$334.45B

P/E Ratio

25.26

Forward P/E

21.02

PEG Ratio

1.43

P/B Ratio

11.09

EPS

$3.18

Dividend Yield

β€”

52W Range

$65.08 – $124.86

Beta

1.53

Volume

30.6M

ROE

49.5%

Profit Margin

28.2%

Revenue Growth

13.4%

Gross Margin

49.1%

EV/EBITDA

23.22

Analyst Target

$93.66

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 25.3x. Forward P/E of 21.0x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 11.09x. EV/EBITDA sits at 23.22x. Market capitalization is $334.45B. Revenue is growing at 13.4% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 11.1%. Profit margins are 28.2%. Return on equity is 49.5%. Beta of 1.53 indicates elevated market sensitivity.

Analyst Consensus

Recommendation

none

Low Target

$70.00

Mean Target

$93.66

High Target

$135.00

Based on 45 analysts

About Netflix

Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services worldwide. The company offers television (TV) series, documentaries, feature films, games, and live programming across various genres and languages. It also provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes, and mobile devices. Netflix, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California.

United States16,000 employeesWebsite β†—

NFLX Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

Quality-focused portfolios

Watch out for

Premium valuation, High volatility

Data confidence

High

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $40.28 by approximately 49.9%. Trailing P/E: 25.3x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 28.2% and return on equity of 49.5%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 13.4% and earnings growth of 11.1%. Risk profile: elevated market beta of 1.53. Consensus: none.

NFLX Deep Dive Analysis

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 25.3x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Expanding

Rev 13.4%

Revenue is outpacing the market.

Risk

Elevated

Beta 1.53

Expect bigger swings than the market.

Valuation Snapshot

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $40.28 by approximately 49.9%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 25.3x. Forward P/E of 21.0x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 6.9x. Price-to-book is 11.1x. EV/EBITDA sits at 23.2x. Market capitalization is $334.45B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 13.4% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 11.1%. Profit margins are 28.2%. Return on equity is 49.5%. Return on assets is 16.1%.

Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.

Risk Profile

Beta of 1.53 indicates elevated market sensitivity. Net debt position is $7.53B.

Why it matters: A riskier stock can fall more in a downturn. Make sure your portfolio can handle the volatility.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $93.66 implies 16.6% upside. Target range spans $70.00 to $135.00. 45 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: none.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Investor Fit

Strong profitability metrics may appeal to quality-focused portfolios.

Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, market cap: Yahoo Finance (delayed ~5 min)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst targets: Yahoo Finance consensus (may lag)
  • Insider trades: SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair Value: 7-model consensus (DCF, Graham, P/E, P/S, DDM, EV/EBITDA, Div Yield) β€” trimmed inverse-variance weighted
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value βˆ’ Live Price) / Live Price Γ— 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation(Β±25) + Whale(Β±10) + Macro(Β±10) + Technical(Β±10). Analyst consensus shown separately.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

NFLX Overvalued

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $40.28 by approximately 49.9%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs NFLX stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, NFLX appears to trade above fair value by approximately 49.9%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is NFLX fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for NFLX is $40.28, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is NFLX compared with other stocks?
NFLX carries a beta of 1.53 indicates above-average market sensitivity. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs NFLX still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 13.4% and earnings growth of 11.1%. Profit margins are 28.2%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about NFLX?
Analyst consensus target is $93.66, implying 16.6% upside. The street recommendation is "none".
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for NFLX?
Key catalysts include Communication Services sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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About the Author

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) β€” Founder

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.

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Investment Disclaimer: QuantSoar is for informational purposes only. We do not provide personalized investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor. SEC

Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.