Deep Dive AMZN (Amazon) Consumer Stock Price Target Update
NMS Β· Consumer Cyclical Β· Internet Retail
$249.82
-3.69 (-1.46%)
AMZN Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
AMZN Stock Snapshot β Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
AMZN Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$2694.96B
P/E Ratio
20.12
Forward P/E
24.02
PEG Ratio
1.48
P/B Ratio
4.88
EPS
$12.42
Dividend Yield
β
52W Range
$196.00 β $287.20
Beta
1.44
Volume
6.9M
ROE
30.6%
Profit Margin
17.4%
Revenue Growth
19.6%
Gross Margin
50.8%
EV/EBITDA
16.95
Analyst Target
$328.17
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 20.1x. Forward P/E of 24.0x indicates stable forward expectations. Price-to-book is 4.88x. EV/EBITDA sits at 16.95x. Market capitalization is $2.69T. Revenue is growing at 19.6% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 242.3%. Profit margins are 17.4%. Return on equity is 30.6%. Beta of 1.44 indicates elevated market sensitivity.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Strong Buy
Low Target
$230.00
Mean Target
$328.17
High Target
$405.00
Based on 60 analysts
About Amazon
Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products, advertising, and subscriptions service through online and physical stores in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, fire tablets, fire TVs, echo, ring, blink, and eero; and develops and produces media content. In addition, the company offers programs that enable sellers to sell their products in its stores; and programs that allow authors, independent publishers, musicians, filmmakers, Twitch streamers, skill and app developers, and others to publish and sell content. Further, it provides compute, storage, Artificial intelligence, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services, as well as advertising services through programs, such as sponsored ads, display, and video advertising. Additionally, the company offers Amazon Prime, a membership program. The company's products offered through its stores include merchandise and content purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. It serves consumers, sellers, developers, enterprises, content creators, advertisers, and employees. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
AMZN Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
Growth-oriented investorsWatch out for
Premium valuation, High volatilityData confidence
HighAmazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $159.16 by approximately 36.3%. Trailing P/E: 20.1x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 17.4% and return on equity of 30.6%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 19.6% and earnings growth of 242.3%. Risk profile: elevated market beta of 1.44. Consensus: strong_buy.
AMZN Deep Dive Analysis
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 20.1x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 19.6%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Risk
Elevated
Beta 1.44
Expect bigger swings than the market.
Valuation Snapshot
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $159.16 by approximately 36.3%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 20.1x. Forward P/E of 24.0x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-sales is 3.5x. Price-to-book is 4.9x. EV/EBITDA sits at 17.0x. Market capitalization is $2.69T.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 19.6% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 242.3%. Profit margins are 17.4%. Return on equity is 30.6%. Return on assets is 6.6%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Beta of 1.44 indicates elevated market sensitivity. Net debt position is $128.65B.
Why it matters: A riskier stock can fall more in a downturn. Make sure your portfolio can handle the volatility.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $328.17 implies 31.4% upside. Target range spans $230.00 to $405.00. 60 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: strong_buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Premium valuation is supported by above-average growth, potentially fitting growth-oriented strategies.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, market cap: Yahoo Finance (delayed ~5 min)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst targets: Yahoo Finance consensus (may lag)
- Insider trades: SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair Value: 7-model consensus (DCF, Graham, P/E, P/S, DDM, EV/EBITDA, Div Yield) β trimmed inverse-variance weighted
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value β Live Price) / Live Price Γ 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation(Β±25) + Whale(Β±10) + Macro(Β±10) + Technical(Β±10). Analyst consensus shown separately.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
AMZN Overvalued
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $159.16 by approximately 36.3%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs AMZN stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is AMZN fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is AMZN compared with other stocks?
GrowthIs AMZN still growing?
AnalystWhat do analysts think about AMZN?
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for AMZN?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) β Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: QuantSoar is for informational purposes only. We do not provide personalized investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.