Deep Dive AAPL (Apple) Valuation & Fair Value Deep Value
NMS Β· Technology Β· Consumer Electronics
$333.08
+0.81 (+0.24%)
AAPL Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
AAPL Stock Snapshot β Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
AAPL Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$4861.03B
P/E Ratio
38.24
Forward P/E
34.76
PEG Ratio
2.61
P/B Ratio
45.26
EPS
$8.71
Dividend Yield
0.32%
52W Range
$236.32 β $344.57
Beta
1.08
Volume
38.7M
ROE
148.8%
Profit Margin
27.6%
Revenue Growth
16.4%
Gross Margin
48.7%
EV/EBITDA
29.07
Analyst Target
$325.66
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 38.2x. Forward P/E of 34.8x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 45.26x. EV/EBITDA sits at 29.07x. Market capitalization is $4.86T. Revenue is growing at 16.4% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 28.7%. Profit margins are 27.6%. Return on equity is 148.8%. Beta of 1.08 indicates market-average volatility.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Buy
Low Target
$215.00
Mean Target
$325.66
High Target
$400.00
Based on 39 analysts
About Apple
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables, and accessories worldwide. The company offers iPhone, a line of smartphones; Mac, a line of personal computers; iPad, a line of multi-purpose tablets; and wearables, home, and accessories comprising AirPods, Apple Vision Pro, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, and HomePod, as well as Apple branded and third-party accessories. It also provides AppleCare support and cloud services; and operates various platforms, including the App Store that allows customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games, and podcasts, as well as advertising services include third-party licensing arrangements and its own advertising platforms. In addition, the company offers various subscription-based services, such as Apple Arcade, a game subscription service; Apple Fitness+, a personalized fitness service; Apple Music, which offers users a curated listening experience with on-demand radio stations; Apple News+, a subscription news and magazine service; Apple TV, which offers original content and live sports; Apple Card, a co-branded credit card; and Apple Pay, a cashless payment service, as well as licenses its intellectual property. The company serves consumers, and small and mid-sized businesses; and the education, enterprise, and government markets. It distributes third-party applications for its products through the App Store. The company also sells its products through its retail and online stores, and direct sales force; and third-party cellular network carriers and resellers. The company was formerly known as Apple Computer, Inc. and changed its name to Apple Inc. in January 2007. Apple Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California.
AAPL Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
Growth-oriented investorsWatch out for
Premium valuationData confidence
HighApple Inc. (AAPL) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $147.72 by approximately 55.7%. Trailing P/E: 38.2x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 27.6% and return on equity of 148.8%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 16.4% and earnings growth of 28.7%. Risk profile: beta of 1.08. Consensus: buy.
AAPL Deep Dive Analysis
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 38.2x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 16.4%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Valuation Snapshot
Apple Inc. (AAPL) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $147.72 by approximately 55.7%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 38.2x. Forward P/E of 34.8x indicates stable forward expectations. Price-to-sales is 10.4x. Price-to-book is 45.3x. EV/EBITDA sits at 29.1x. Market capitalization is $4.86T.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 16.4% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 28.7%. Profit margins are 27.6%. Return on equity is 148.8%. Return on assets is 27.1%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Beta of 1.08 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $21.94B.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $325.66 implies 2.2% downside. Target range spans $215.00 to $400.00. 39 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Premium valuation is supported by above-average growth, potentially fitting growth-oriented strategies.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, market cap: Yahoo Finance (delayed ~5 min)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst targets: Yahoo Finance consensus (may lag)
- Insider trades: SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair Value: 7-model consensus (DCF, Graham, P/E, P/S, DDM, EV/EBITDA, Div Yield) β trimmed inverse-variance weighted
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value β Live Price) / Live Price Γ 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation(Β±25) + Whale(Β±10) + Macro(Β±10) + Technical(Β±10). Analyst consensus shown separately.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
AAPL Overvalued
Apple Inc. (AAPL) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $147.72 by approximately 55.7%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs AAPL stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is AAPL fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is AAPL compared with other stocks?
GrowthIs AAPL still growing?
AnalystWhat do analysts think about AAPL?
DividendDoes AAPL pay a dividend?
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for AAPL?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) β Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: QuantSoar is for informational purposes only. We do not provide personalized investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.