UNP Stock Analysis
NYQ · Industrials · Railroads
$274.18
+0.39 (+0.14%)
UNP Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
UNP Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
UNP Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Marktkapitalisatie
$162.88B
P/E
22.20
Forward P/E
19.34
PEG
2.72
P/B
8.38
EPS
$12.35
Dividendrendement
2.07%
52W bereik
$215.53 – $315.99
Beta
0.97
Volume
0.6M
ROE
39.7%
Winstmarge
28.8%
Omzetgroei
11.5%
Brutomarge
56.3%
EV/EBITDA
14.88
Analystendoel
$329.33
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 22.2x. Forward P/E of 19.3x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 8.38x. EV/EBITDA sits at 14.88x. Market capitalization is $162.88B. Revenue is growing at 11.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 6.6%. Profit margins are 28.8%. Return on equity is 39.7%. Beta of 0.97 indicates market-average volatility.
Analyst Consensus
Aanbeveling
Buy
Doel laag
$245.00
Doel gemiddeld
$329.33
Doel hoog
$375.00
Gebaseerd op 24 analisten
Over UNP
Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States. It offers transportation services for grain and grain products, fertilizers, food and refrigerated products, and coal and renewables to grain processors, animal feeders, and ethanol and renewable biofuel producers; and construction products, industrial chemicals, plastics, forest products, specialized products, metals and ores, petroleum, liquid petroleum gases, soda ash, and sand, as well as finished automobiles, automotive parts, and merchandise in intermodal containers. The company was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.
UNP Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
Quality-focused portfoliosWatch out for
Premium valuationNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $168.76 by approximately 38.5%. Trailing P/E: 22.2x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 28.8% and return on equity of 39.7%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 11.5% and earnings growth of 6.6%. Risk profile: beta of 0.97. Consensus: buy.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 22.2x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 11.5%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Valuation Snapshot
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $168.76 by approximately 38.5%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 22.2x. Forward P/E of 19.3x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 6.4x. Price-to-book is 8.4x. EV/EBITDA sits at 14.9x. Market capitalization is $162.88B.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 11.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 6.6%. Profit margins are 28.8%. Return on equity is 39.7%. Return on assets is 9.3%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Beta of 0.97 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $29.05B.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $329.33 implies 20.1% upside. Target range spans $245.00 to $375.00. 24 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Strong profitability metrics may appeal to quality-focused portfolios.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
UNP Overvalued
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $168.76 by approximately 38.5%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs UNP stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is UNP fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is UNP compared with other stocks?
GrowthIs UNP still growing?
AnalystWhat do analysts think about UNP?
DividendDoes UNP pay a dividend?
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for UNP?
Related Stocks
เกี่ยวกับผู้เขียน
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — ผู้ก่อตั้ง
ภาสกร ตรากลาง (พีช) เป็นผู้ก่อตั้ง QuantSoar และนักวิจัยการลงทุนเชิงปริมาณที่เชี่ยวชาญด้านการประเมินมูลค่าหุ้นหลายโมเดล การวิเคราะห์กระแสสถาบัน และการสร้างพอร์ตแบบเป็นระบบ เขาสร้างแพลตฟอร์มการเงินที่ขับเคลื่อนด้วยข้อมูลเพื่อให้บริการนักลงทุนรายย่อยทั่วโลก
เชื่อมต่อ LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Gegevens: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub