UAL Stock Analysis
NMS · Industrials · Airlines
$110.64
-3.35 (-2.94%)
UAL Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
UAL Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
UAL Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$35.91B
P/E Ratio
10.36
Forward P/E
7.64
PEG Ratio
6.50
P/B Ratio
2.15
EPS
$10.68
Dividend Yield
—
52W Range
$84.64 – $138.77
Beta
1.27
Volume
0.7M
ROE
23.3%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Revenue Growth
16.0%
Gross Margin
31.8%
EV/EBITDA
7.62
Analyst Target
$156.80
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 10.4x. Forward P/E of 7.6x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 2.15x. EV/EBITDA sits at 7.62x. Market capitalization is $35.91B. Revenue is growing at 16.0% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -17.2%. Profit margins are 5.6%. Return on equity is 23.3%. Beta of 1.27 indicates elevated market sensitivity.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Strong Buy
Low Target
$95.00
Mean Target
$156.80
High Target
$203.00
Based on 23 analysts
About UAL
United Airlines Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in the United States, Canada, Atlantic, the Pacific, and Latin America. It transports people and cargo through its mainline and regional fleets. The company also offers ground handling, flight academy, frequent flyer award non-travel redemptions, and maintenance services for third parties. In addition, it provides freight and mail transportation services to commercial businesses, freight forwarders, logistics firms, and national postal services, as well as loyalty programs. The company distributes its products through direct channels, such as the Company's website and the Company's mobile app; and traditional travel agencies, online travel agencies, and other intermediaries. The company was formerly known as United Continental Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to United Airlines Holdings, Inc. in June 2019. United Airlines Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
UAL Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
Fairly ValuedBest for
Higher-risk tolerance investorsWatch out for
High volatility, Earnings declineNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $124.44 by approximately 12.5%. Trailing P/E: 10.4x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 5.6% and return on equity of 23.3%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 16.0% and earnings growth of -17.2%. Risk profile: elevated market beta of 1.27. Consensus: strong_buy.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Fairly Valued
P/E 10.4x
Price is close to fair value estimate.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 16.0%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Risk
Elevated
Beta 1.27
Expect bigger swings than the market.
Valuation Snapshot
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $124.44 by approximately 12.5%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 10.4x. Forward P/E of 7.6x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 0.6x. Price-to-book is 2.2x. EV/EBITDA sits at 7.6x. Market capitalization is $35.91B.
Why it matters: A fairly valued stock means you are paying roughly what the business is worth today.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 16.0% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -17.2%. Profit margins are 5.6%. Return on equity is 23.3%. Return on assets is 3.4%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Beta of 1.27 indicates elevated market sensitivity. Net debt position is $17.03B.
Why it matters: A riskier stock can fall more in a downturn. Make sure your portfolio can handle the volatility.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $156.80 implies 41.7% upside. Target range spans $95.00 to $203.00. 23 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: strong_buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Free cash flow yield of 7.1% is attractive for cash-flow-focused investors.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
UAL Fairly Valued
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $124.44 by approximately 12.5%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs UAL stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is UAL fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is UAL compared with other stocks?
GrowthIs UAL still growing?
AnalystWhat do analysts think about UAL?
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for UAL?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.