TSCO Stock Analysis
NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
$32.03
-0.24 (-0.73%)
TSCO Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
TSCO Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
TSCO Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$16.69B
P/E Ratio
16.68
Forward P/E
15.64
PEG Ratio
2.03
P/B Ratio
6.38
EPS
$1.92
Dividend Yield
2.97%
52W Range
$28.36 – $58.21
Beta
0.47
Volume
2.6M
ROE
39.5%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Revenue Growth
2.3%
Gross Margin
36.5%
EV/EBITDA
11.97
Analyst Target
$35.48
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 16.7x. Forward P/E of 15.6x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 6.38x. EV/EBITDA sits at 11.97x. Market capitalization is $16.69B. Revenue is growing at 2.3% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -15.0%. Profit margins are 6.4%. Return on equity is 39.5%. Beta of 0.47 indicates defensive profile.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Buy
Low Target
$28.00
Mean Target
$35.48
High Target
$42.00
Based on 27 analysts
About TSCO
Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company provides various merchandise, including livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry, fencing, and sprayers and chemicals; companion animal products, such as food, treats, and equipment for dogs, cats, and other small animals, as well as dog wellness products; seasonal and recreation products comprising tractors and riders, lawn and garden, bird feeding, power equipment, and other recreational products; truck, tool, and hardware products, such as truck accessories, trailers, generators, lubricants, batteries, and hardware and tools; and clothing, gift, and décor products consist of clothing, footwear, toys, snacks, and decorative merchandise. It offers its products under the 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, Producer's Pride, Bit & Bridle, Red Shed, Blue Mountain, Redstone, C.E. Schmidt, Retriever, Country Lane, Ridgecut, Countyline, Royal Wing, Country Tuff, Strive, Dumor, Traveller, Farm Table, Treeline, Groundwork, TSC Tractor Supply Co, Huskee, Untamed, JobSmart, and Impeckable brand names. The company operates its retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Petsense by Tractor Supply, and Orscheln Farm and Home names; and operates websites under the TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com names. It sells its products to recreational farmers, ranchers, and others. Tractor Supply Company was founded in 1938 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.
TSCO Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
General investorWatch out for
Premium valuation, Earnings declineNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $24.23 by approximately 24.4%. Trailing P/E: 16.7x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 6.4% and return on equity of 39.5%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 2.3% and earnings growth of -15.0%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.47. Consensus: buy.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 16.7x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Stable
Rev 2.3%
Revenue is moving sideways.
Risk
Low
Beta 0.47
Movement is likely to track the broader market.
Valuation Snapshot
Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $24.23 by approximately 24.4%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 16.7x. Forward P/E of 15.6x indicates stable forward expectations. Price-to-sales is 1.1x. Price-to-book is 6.4x. EV/EBITDA sits at 12.0x. Market capitalization is $16.69B.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 2.3% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -15.0%. Profit margins are 6.4%. Return on equity is 39.5%. Return on assets is 7.8%.
Why it matters: Stable revenue is fine, but watch for margin pressure that could limit profit growth.
Risk Profile
Beta of 0.47 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $6.31B.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $35.48 implies 10.8% upside. Target range spans $28.00 to $42.00. 27 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
TSCO Overvalued
Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $24.23 by approximately 24.4%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs TSCO stock overvalued right now?
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DividendDoes TSCO pay a dividend?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.