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QuantSoar snapshot generatedΒ·Data source: Yahoo FinanceΒ·Market data may be delayed
TJ

TJX Stock Analysis

NYQ Β· Consumer Cyclical Β· Apparel Retail

$131.53

+1.46 (+1.13%)

TJX Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

TJX Stock Snapshot β€” Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

TJX Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Market Cap

$144.67B

P/E Ratio

24.36

Forward P/E

22.78

PEG Ratio

2.54

P/B Ratio

13.97

EPS

$5.40

Dividend Yield

1.48%

52W Range

$122.78 – $170.00

Beta

0.59

Volume

0.7M

ROE

62.2%

Profit Margin

9.7%

Revenue Growth

5.4%

Gross Margin

31.5%

EV/EBITDA

17.00

Analyst Target

$169.80

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 24.4x. Forward P/E of 22.8x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 13.97x. EV/EBITDA sits at 17.00x. Market capitalization is $144.67B. Revenue is growing at 5.4% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 23.6%. Profit margins are 9.7%. Return on equity is 62.2%. Beta of 0.59 indicates defensive profile.

Analyst Consensus

Recommendation

none

Low Target

$136.00

Mean Target

$169.80

High Target

$198.00

Based on 20 analysts

About TJX

The TJX Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an off-price apparel and home fashions retailer worldwide. It operates through four segments: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. The company provides family apparel comprising footwear; accessories, such as beauty and jewelry; home fashion products, including home basics, decorative accessories and giftware, as well as furniture, rugs, lighting, soft home, decorative accessories, tabletop, and cookware; pet and gourmet food; and other merchandise. It also offers home decor, furniture, and seasonal home merchandise. The company sells its products through stores and e-commerce sites. The TJX Companies, Inc. was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts.

United States377,000 employeesWebsite β†—

TJX Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $76.45 by approximately 41.9%. Trailing P/E: 24.4x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 9.7% and return on equity of 62.2%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 5.4% and earnings growth of 23.6%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.59. Consensus: none.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 24.4x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Expanding

Rev 5.4%

Revenue is outpacing the market.

Risk

Low

Beta 0.59

Movement is likely to track the broader market.

Valuation Snapshot

The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $76.45 by approximately 41.9%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 24.4x. Forward P/E of 22.8x indicates stable forward expectations. Price-to-sales is 2.3x. Price-to-book is 14.0x. EV/EBITDA sits at 17.0x. Market capitalization is $144.67B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 5.4% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 23.6%. Profit margins are 9.7%. Return on equity is 62.2%. Return on assets is 13.5%.

Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.

Risk Profile

Beta of 0.59 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $8.31B.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $169.80 implies 29.1% upside. Target range spans $136.00 to $198.00. 20 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: none.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value βˆ’ Displayed Price) / Displayed Price Γ— 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to Β±25) + Whale sentiment (up to Β±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to Β±10) + Technical signal (up to Β±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

TJX Overvalued

The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $76.45 by approximately 41.9%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs TJX stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, TJX appears to trade above fair value by approximately 41.9%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is TJX fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for TJX is $76.45, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is TJX compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for TJX: a beta of 0.59 suggests a defensive profile. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs TJX still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 5.4% and earnings growth of 23.6%. Profit margins are 9.7%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about TJX?
Analyst consensus target is $169.80, implying 29.1% upside. The street recommendation is "none".
DividendDoes TJX pay a dividend?
Yes. TJX currently offers a dividend yield of 1.5%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for TJX?
Key catalysts include Consumer Cyclical sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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About the Author

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) β€” Founder

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.

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Investment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC

Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.