TDG Stock Analysis
NYQ · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
$1093.77
-22.88 (-2.05%)
TDG Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
TDG Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
TDG Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$60.46B
P/E Ratio
33.21
Forward P/E
22.62
PEG Ratio
3.05
P/B Ratio
-6.51
EPS
$32.93
Dividend Yield
—
52W Range
$1071.25 – $1463.03
Beta
0.89
Volume
0.0M
ROE
—
Profit Margin
21.3%
Revenue Growth
22.5%
Gross Margin
59.8%
EV/EBITDA
18.15
Analyst Target
$1513.37
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 33.2x. Forward P/E of 22.6x implies earnings expansion expected. EV/EBITDA sits at 18.15x. Market capitalization is $60.46B. Revenue is growing at 22.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 10.9%. Profit margins are 21.3%. Beta of 0.89 indicates market-average volatility.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Buy
Low Target
$1331.00
Mean Target
$1513.37
High Target
$1972.00
Based on 19 analysts
About TDG
TransDigm Group Incorporated designs, produces, and supplies aircraft components in the United States and internationally. The Power & Control segment offers mechanical/electro-mechanical actuators and controls, ignition systems and engine technology, specialized pumps and valves, power conditioning devices, specialized AC/DC electric motors and generators, batteries and chargers, databus and power controls, sensor products, switches and relay panels, hoists, winches and lifting devices, cargo loading and handling systems, delivery systems, and electronic components. Its Airframe segment provides engineered latching and locking devices, engineered rods, engineered connectors and elastomer sealing solutions, cockpit security components and systems, cockpit displays, lavatory components, seat belts and safety restraints, engineered and customized interior surfaces and related components, thermal protection and insulation products, lighting and control technology, parachutes, specialized flight, wind tunnel and jet engine testing services and equipment, and testing and instrumentation solutions, as well as engineered audio, radio, and antenna systems. The Non-Aviation segment offers seat belts and safety restraints; mechanical/electromechanical actuators and controls; hydraulic/electromechanical actuators and fuel valves; refueling systems; and turbine controls. It serves engine and power system and subsystem suppliers, airlines, third party maintenance suppliers, military buying agencies, and repair depots; airframe manufacturers, cabin system and subsystem suppliers, airlines, and third party maintenance suppliers; and off-road vehicle and subsystem suppliers, child restraint system suppliers, and satellite and space system suppliers, as well as manufacturers of heavy equipment. The company was formerly known as TD Holding Corporation and changed its name to TransDigm Group Incorporated in 2006. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.
TDG Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
Growth-oriented investorsWatch out for
Premium valuationNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $411.14 by approximately 62.4%. Trailing P/E: 33.2x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 21.3%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 22.5% and earnings growth of 10.9%. Risk profile: beta of 0.89. Consensus: buy.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 33.2x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 22.5%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Valuation Snapshot
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $411.14 by approximately 62.4%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 33.2x. Forward P/E of 22.6x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 6.0x. EV/EBITDA sits at 18.2x. Market capitalization is $60.46B.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 22.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 10.9%. Profit margins are 21.3%. Return on assets is 11.8%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Beta of 0.89 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $30.71B.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $1513.37 implies 38.4% upside. Target range spans $1331.00 to $1972.00. 19 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Premium valuation is supported by above-average growth, potentially fitting growth-oriented strategies.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
TDG Overvalued
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $411.14 by approximately 62.4%.
Frequently Asked Questions
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.