STZ Stock Analysis
NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers
$112.53
-1.10 (-0.97%)
STZ Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
STZ Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
STZ Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$19.22B
P/E Ratio
10.72
Forward P/E
9.17
PEG Ratio
1.44
P/B Ratio
2.34
EPS
$10.50
Dividend Yield
3.63%
52W Range
$111.92 – $168.60
Beta
0.40
Volume
0.4M
ROE
23.7%
Profit Margin
20.1%
Revenue Growth
-3.3%
Gross Margin
52.7%
EV/EBITDA
8.72
Analyst Target
$163.35
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 10.7x. Forward P/E of 9.2x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 2.34x. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.72x. Market capitalization is $19.22B. Revenue is contracting at -3.3% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 30.7%. Profit margins are 20.1%. Return on equity is 23.7%. Beta of 0.40 indicates defensive profile.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Buy
Low Target
$110.00
Mean Target
$163.35
High Target
$209.00
Based on 23 analysts
About STZ
Constellation Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, imports, markets, and sells beer, wine, and spirits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. It offers beer under the Corona Extra, Corona Familiar, Corona Sunbrew, Corona Light, Corona Non-Alcoholic, Corona Premier, Modelo Especial, Modelo Chelada, Modelo Negra, Modelo Spiked Aguas Frescas, Modelo Oro, Modelo Noche Especial, Victoria, Vicky Chamoy, and Pacifico brand names. The company also offers wine under the Sea Smoke, Schrader Cellars, Kim Crawford, Mount Veeder, Ruffino, My Favorite Neighbor, Robert Mondavi Winery, and The Prisoner Wine Company brand names; and spirits under the Casa Noble, High West, Mi CAMPO, and Nelson's Green Brier brand names. It provides its products to wholesale distributors, retailers, and state alcohol beverage control agencies. Constellation Brands, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.
STZ Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
Fairly ValuedBest for
Quality-focused portfoliosWatch out for
Revenue contractionNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $111.93 by approximately 0.5%. Trailing P/E: 10.7x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 20.1% and return on equity of 23.7%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of -3.3% and earnings growth of 30.7%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.40. Consensus: buy.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Fairly Valued
P/E 10.7x
Price is close to fair value estimate.
Growth
Stable
Rev -3.3%
Revenue is moving sideways.
Risk
Low
Beta 0.40
Movement is likely to track the broader market.
Valuation Snapshot
Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $111.93 by approximately 0.5%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 10.7x. Forward P/E of 9.2x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 2.1x. Price-to-book is 2.3x. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.7x. Market capitalization is $19.22B.
Why it matters: A fairly valued stock means you are paying roughly what the business is worth today.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is contracting at -3.3% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 30.7%. Profit margins are 20.1%. Return on equity is 23.7%. Return on assets is 8.6%.
Why it matters: Falling revenue can signal losing market share or industry headwinds.
Risk Profile
Beta of 0.40 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $10.44B.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $163.35 implies 45.2% upside. Target range spans $110.00 to $209.00. 23 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Strong profitability metrics may appeal to quality-focused portfolios. Free cash flow yield of 9.3% is attractive for cash-flow-focused investors.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
STZ Fairly Valued
Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $111.93 by approximately 0.5%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs STZ stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is STZ fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is STZ compared with other stocks?
GrowthIs STZ still growing?
AnalystWhat do analysts think about STZ?
DividendDoes STZ pay a dividend?
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for STZ?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.