SJM Stock Analysis
NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
$121.09
+0.09 (+0.07%)
SJM Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
SJM Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
SJM Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$12.94B
P/E Ratio
56.85
Forward P/E
11.09
PEG Ratio
2.17
P/B Ratio
2.25
EPS
$2.14
Dividend Yield
3.70%
52W Range
$88.25 – $135.89
Beta
0.26
Volume
0.3M
ROE
3.9%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Revenue Growth
5.0%
Gross Margin
38.0%
EV/EBITDA
8.76
Analyst Target
$142.13
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 56.8x. Forward P/E of 11.1x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 2.25x. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.76x. Market capitalization is $12.94B. Revenue is growing at 5.0% on a trailing basis. Profit margins are 2.5%. Return on equity is 3.9%. Beta of 0.26 indicates defensive profile.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Buy
Low Target
$120.00
Mean Target
$142.13
High Target
$157.00
Based on 16 analysts
About SJM
The J. M. Smucker Company manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products worldwide. The company operates through five segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads, U.S. Retail Pet Foods, Sweet Baked Snacks, and Away From Home. It offers coffee, sweet baked goods, pet snacks, frozen handheld products, peanut butter, cat and dog food, fruit and specialty spreads, cookies, frozen sandwiches and snacks, hot beverages, portion control products, toppings and syrups, baking mixes and ingredients, and flour. The company provides its products under the Folgers, Café Bustelo, Dunkin', Jif, Smucker's, Uncrustables, Meow Mix, Milk-Bone, Pup-Peroni, Canine Carry Outs, Hostess, and 1850 brand names. It sells its products through direct sales and brokers to food retailers, club stores, discount and dollar stores, online retailers, pet specialty stores, distributors, drug stores, military commissaries, mass merchandisers, supermarket chains, national mass retailers, convenience stores, vending channels, and foodservice distributors and operators. The J. M. Smucker Company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Orrville, Ohio.
SJM Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
Fairly ValuedBest for
General investorWatch out for
None flaggedNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $122.23 by approximately 0.9%. Trailing P/E: 56.8x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 2.5% and return on equity of 3.9%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 5.0%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.26. Consensus: buy.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Fairly Valued
P/E 56.8x
Price is close to fair value estimate.
Growth
Stable
Rev 5.0%
Revenue is moving sideways.
Risk
Low
Beta 0.26
Movement is likely to track the broader market.
Valuation Snapshot
The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $122.23 by approximately 0.9%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 56.8x. Forward P/E of 11.1x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 1.4x. Price-to-book is 2.2x. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.8x. Market capitalization is $12.94B.
Why it matters: A fairly valued stock means you are paying roughly what the business is worth today.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 5.0% on a trailing basis. Profit margins are 2.5%. Return on equity is 3.9%. Return on assets is 6.3%.
Why it matters: Stable revenue is fine, but watch for margin pressure that could limit profit growth.
Risk Profile
Beta of 0.26 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $6.90B.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $142.13 implies 17.4% upside. Target range spans $120.00 to $157.00. 16 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Free cash flow yield of 8.9% is attractive for cash-flow-focused investors.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
SJM Fairly Valued
The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $122.23 by approximately 0.9%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs SJM stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is SJM fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is SJM compared with other stocks?
GrowthIs SJM still growing?
AnalystWhat do analysts think about SJM?
DividendDoes SJM pay a dividend?
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for SJM?
Related Stocks
About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.