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ROST Stock Analysis

NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

$236.39

+0.27 (+0.11%)

ROST Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

ROST Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

ROST Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Market Cap

$75.83B

P/E Ratio

28.62

Forward P/E

26.43

PEG Ratio

2.53

P/B Ratio

11.21

EPS

$8.26

Dividend Yield

0.75%

52W Range

$147.49 – $257.00

Beta

0.86

Volume

0.3M

ROE

42.6%

Profit Margin

10.8%

Revenue Growth

13.3%

Gross Margin

33.4%

EV/EBITDA

20.75

Analyst Target

$270.56

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 28.6x. Forward P/E of 26.4x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 11.21x. EV/EBITDA sits at 20.75x. Market capitalization is $75.83B. Revenue is growing at 13.3% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 70.5%. Profit margins are 10.8%. Return on equity is 42.6%. Beta of 0.86 indicates market-average volatility.

Analyst Consensus

Recommendation

Buy

Low Target

$187.00

Mean Target

$270.56

High Target

$310.00

Based on 18 analysts

About ROST

Ross Stores, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores under the Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS brands in the United States. The company offers designer apparel, accessories, footwear, and home-fashioned products for the entire family. It sells its products to middle income households and households with lower to more moderate incomes. Ross Stores, Inc. was incorporated in 1957 and is headquartered in Dublin, California.

United States111,000 employeesWebsite ↗

ROST Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $107.82 by approximately 54.4%. Trailing P/E: 28.6x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 10.8% and return on equity of 42.6%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 13.3% and earnings growth of 70.5%. Risk profile: beta of 0.86. Consensus: buy.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 28.6x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Expanding

Rev 13.3%

Revenue is outpacing the market.

Valuation Snapshot

Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $107.82 by approximately 54.4%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 28.6x. Forward P/E of 26.4x indicates stable forward expectations. Price-to-sales is 3.1x. Price-to-book is 11.2x. EV/EBITDA sits at 20.7x. Market capitalization is $75.83B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 13.3% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 70.5%. Profit margins are 10.8%. Return on equity is 42.6%. Return on assets is 12.8%.

Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.

Risk Profile

Beta of 0.86 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $451.03M.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $270.56 implies 14.5% upside. Target range spans $187.00 to $310.00. 18 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

ROST Overvalued

Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $107.82 by approximately 54.4%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs ROST stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, ROST appears to trade above fair value by approximately 54.4%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is ROST fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for ROST is $107.82, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is ROST compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for ROST: a beta of 0.86 is near market average. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs ROST still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 13.3% and earnings growth of 70.5%. Profit margins are 10.8%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about ROST?
Analyst consensus target is $270.56, implying 14.5% upside. The street recommendation is "buy".
DividendDoes ROST pay a dividend?
Yes. ROST currently offers a dividend yield of 0.8%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for ROST?
Key catalysts include Consumer Cyclical sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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About the Author

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.

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Investment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC

Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.