PHM Stock Analysis
NYQ · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
$119.69
-0.18 (-0.15%)
PHM Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
PHM Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
PHM Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$22.80B
P/E Ratio
12.23
Forward P/E
10.85
PEG Ratio
1.00
P/B Ratio
1.73
EPS
$9.79
Dividend Yield
0.87%
52W Range
$108.49 – $144.50
Beta
1.20
Volume
0.0M
ROE
14.9%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Revenue Growth
-9.6%
Gross Margin
25.6%
EV/EBITDA
8.57
Analyst Target
$140.80
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 12.2x. Forward P/E of 10.9x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 1.73x. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.57x. Market capitalization is $22.80B. Revenue is contracting at -9.6% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -18.2%. Profit margins are 11.6%. Return on equity is 14.9%. Beta of 1.20 indicates elevated market sensitivity.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Buy
Low Target
$100.00
Mean Target
$140.80
High Target
$166.00
Based on 15 analysts
About PHM
PulteGroup, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the homebuilding business in the United States. The company is involved in the acquisition and development of land primarily for residential purposes, as well as construction of housing; and sale of single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as townhomes, condominiums, and duplexes under the Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb, DiVosta Homes, and John Wieland Homes and Neighborhoods brands. It also engages in the mortgage banking, title, and insurance agency operations. PulteGroup, Inc. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
PHM Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
Fairly ValuedBest for
Higher-risk tolerance investorsWatch out for
High volatility, Revenue contraction, Earnings declineNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $106.33 by approximately 11.2%. Trailing P/E: 12.2x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 11.6% and return on equity of 14.9%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of -9.6% and earnings growth of -18.2%. Risk profile: elevated market beta of 1.20. Consensus: buy.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Fairly Valued
P/E 12.2x
Price is close to fair value estimate.
Growth
Contracting
Rev -9.6%
Top-line revenue is shrinking.
Risk
Elevated
Beta 1.20
Expect bigger swings than the market.
Valuation Snapshot
PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $106.33 by approximately 11.2%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 12.2x. Forward P/E of 10.9x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 1.4x. Price-to-book is 1.7x. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.6x. Market capitalization is $22.80B.
Why it matters: A fairly valued stock means you are paying roughly what the business is worth today.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is contracting at -9.6% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -18.2%. Profit margins are 11.6%. Return on equity is 14.9%. Return on assets is 9.2%.
Why it matters: Falling revenue can signal losing market share or industry headwinds.
Risk Profile
Beta of 1.20 indicates elevated market sensitivity. Net debt position is $1.14B.
Why it matters: A riskier stock can fall more in a downturn. Make sure your portfolio can handle the volatility.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $140.80 implies 17.6% upside. Target range spans $100.00 to $166.00. 15 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Free cash flow yield of 7.7% is attractive for cash-flow-focused investors.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
PHM Fairly Valued
PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $106.33 by approximately 11.2%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs PHM stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is PHM fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is PHM compared with other stocks?
GrowthIs PHM still growing?
AnalystWhat do analysts think about PHM?
DividendDoes PHM pay a dividend?
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for PHM?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.