IndustrialsQuantSoar snapshot generated·Data source: Yahoo Finance·Market data may be delayed
PC

PCAR Stock Analysis

NMS · Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

$111.36

+0.06 (+0.05%)

PCAR Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

PCAR Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

PCAR Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Capitalisation

$58.62B

P/E

23.45

Forward P/E

15.41

PEG

0.83

P/B

2.88

EPS

$4.75

Rendement dividende

1.26%

52 sem.

$92.25 – $139.24

Beta

0.97

Volume

0.2M

ROE

12.8%

Marge bénéficiaire

9.0%

Croissance CA

0.5%

Marge brute

13.7%

EV/EBITDA

19.79

Objectif analystes

$144.80

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 23.4x. Forward P/E of 15.4x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 2.88x. EV/EBITDA sits at 19.79x. Market capitalization is $58.62B. Revenue is growing at 0.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 4.2%. Profit margins are 9.0%. Return on equity is 12.8%. Beta of 0.97 indicates market-average volatility.

Analyst Consensus

Recommandation

Buy

Objectif bas

$125.00

Objectif moyen

$144.80

Objectif haut

$164.00

Basé sur 15 analystes

À propos de PCAR

PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, Canada, Australia, Mexico, Europe, Central and South America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. The Truck segment designs, manufactures, and distributes trucks for the over-the-road and off-highway hauling of commercial and consumer goods; and diesel engine products. It sells its trucks through a network of independent dealers under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates. The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment conducts full-service leasing operations under the PacLease trade name, as well as provides finance and leasing products and services to customers and dealers. This segment offers equipment financing and administrative support services for its franchisees; retail loan and leasing services for small, medium, and large commercial trucking companies, as well as independent owners/operators and other businesses; and truck inventory financing services to independent dealers. In addition, this segment offers loans and leases directly to customers for the acquisition of trucks and related equipment; and operates its own full-service lease outlets. The company manufactures and markets industrial winches under the Braden, Carco, and Gearmatic nameplates. PACCAR Inc was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.

United States25,900 employésSite web ↗

PCAR Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $92.21 by approximately 17.2%. Trailing P/E: 23.4x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 9.0% and return on equity of 12.8%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 0.5% and earnings growth of 4.2%. Risk profile: beta of 0.97. Consensus: buy.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 23.4x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Stable

Rev 0.5%

Revenue is moving sideways.

Valuation Snapshot

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $92.21 by approximately 17.2%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 23.4x. Forward P/E of 15.4x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 2.1x. Price-to-book is 2.9x. EV/EBITDA sits at 19.8x. Market capitalization is $58.62B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 0.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 4.2%. Profit margins are 9.0%. Return on equity is 12.8%. Return on assets is 4.1%.

Why it matters: Stable revenue is fine, but watch for margin pressure that could limit profit growth.

Risk Profile

Beta of 0.97 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $6.15B.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $144.80 implies 30.0% upside. Target range spans $125.00 to $164.00. 15 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Investor Fit

Free cash flow yield of 5.2% is attractive for cash-flow-focused investors.

Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

PCAR Overvalued

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $92.21 by approximately 17.2%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs PCAR stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, PCAR appears to trade above fair value by approximately 17.2%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is PCAR fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for PCAR is $92.21, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is PCAR compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for PCAR: a beta of 0.97 is near market average. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs PCAR still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 0.5% and earnings growth of 4.2%. Profit margins are 9.0%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about PCAR?
Analyst consensus target is $144.80, implying 30.0% upside. The street recommendation is "buy".
DividendDoes PCAR pay a dividend?
Yes. PCAR currently offers a dividend yield of 1.3%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for PCAR?
Key catalysts include Industrials sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

Related Stocks

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach)

เกี่ยวกับผู้เขียน

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — ผู้ก่อตั้ง

ภาสกร ตรากลาง (พีช) เป็นผู้ก่อตั้ง QuantSoar และนักวิจัยการลงทุนเชิงปริมาณที่เชี่ยวชาญด้านการประเมินมูลค่าหุ้นหลายโมเดล การวิเคราะห์กระแสสถาบัน และการสร้างพอร์ตแบบเป็นระบบ เขาสร้างแพลตฟอร์มการเงินที่ขับเคลื่อนด้วยข้อมูลเพื่อให้บริการนักลงทุนรายย่อยทั่วโลก

เชื่อมต่อ LinkedIn

Investment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC

Données: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub