ORLY Stock Analysis
NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
$86.61
+0.50 (+0.57%)
ORLY Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
ORLY Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
ORLY Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$70.06B
P/E Ratio
27.50
Forward P/E
23.71
PEG Ratio
1.61
P/B Ratio
-38.51
EPS
$3.15
Dividend Yield
—
52W Range
$82.59 – $108.72
Beta
0.52
Volume
1.4M
ROE
—
Profit Margin
14.3%
Revenue Growth
8.1%
Gross Margin
51.6%
EV/EBITDA
18.94
Analyst Target
$107.88
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 27.5x. Forward P/E of 23.7x implies earnings expansion expected. EV/EBITDA sits at 18.94x. Market capitalization is $70.06B. Revenue is growing at 8.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 10.3%. Profit margins are 14.3%. Beta of 0.52 indicates defensive profile.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Buy
Low Target
$91.00
Mean Target
$107.88
High Target
$120.00
Based on 25 analysts
About ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer and supplier of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Canada. The company offers new and remanufactured automotive hard parts and maintenance items, such as alternators, batteries, brake system components, belts, chassis parts, driveline parts, engine parts, fuel pumps, hoses, starters, temperature control, water pumps, antifreeze, appearance products, engine additives, filters, fluids, lighting products, and oil and wiper blades; and accessories, including floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. It also provides auto body paint and related materials, automotive tools, and professional service provider service equipment. In addition, the company offers enhanced services and programs consisting of used oil, oil filter, and battery recycling; battery, wiper, and bulb replacement; battery diagnostic testing; electrical and module testing; check engine light code extraction; loaner tool program; referrals to trusted local repair shops; drum and rotor resurfacing; custom hydraulic hoses; and professional paint shop mixing and related materials. It offers its products to do-it-yourself and professional service providers for domestic and imported automobiles, vans, and trucks. It offers its products under the BesTest, BrakeBest, Cartek, Import Direct, MasterPro, MicroGard, Murray, Omnispark, O'Reilly Auto Parts, Precision, PowerTorque, SuperStart, Syntec, and Ultima brand names. O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Springfield, Missouri.
ORLY Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
General investorWatch out for
Premium valuationNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $44.24 by approximately 48.9%. Trailing P/E: 27.5x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 14.3%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 8.1% and earnings growth of 10.3%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.52. Consensus: buy.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 27.5x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 8.1%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Risk
Low
Beta 0.52
Movement is likely to track the broader market.
Valuation Snapshot
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $44.24 by approximately 48.9%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 27.5x. Forward P/E of 23.7x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 3.8x. EV/EBITDA sits at 18.9x. Market capitalization is $70.06B.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 8.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 10.3%. Profit margins are 14.3%. Return on assets is 13.7%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Beta of 0.52 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $9.33B.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $107.88 implies 24.6% upside. Target range spans $91.00 to $120.00. 25 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
ORLY Overvalued
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $44.24 by approximately 48.9%.
Frequently Asked Questions
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.