IndustrialsQuantSoar snapshot generated·Data source: Yahoo Finance·Market data may be delayed
OD

ODFL Stock Analysis

NMS · Industrials · Trucking

$176.26

+2.96 (+1.71%)

ODFL Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

ODFL Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

ODFL Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

มูลค่าตลาด

$36.66B

P/E

33.90

Forward P/E

26.43

PEG

2.11

P/B

8.04

EPS

$5.20

เงินปันผล

0.67%

ช่วง 52 สัปดาห์

$126.01 – $252.03

Beta

1.17

ปริมาณ

0.1M

ROE

24.8%

อัตรากำไร

19.4%

การเติบโตของรายได้

10.4%

อัตรากำไรขั้นต้น

39.6%

EV/EBITDA

19.89

เป้าหมายนักวิเคราะห์

$228.78

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 33.9x. Forward P/E of 26.4x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 8.04x. EV/EBITDA sits at 19.89x. Market capitalization is $36.66B. Revenue is growing at 10.4% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 32.3%. Profit margins are 19.4%. Return on equity is 24.8%. Beta of 1.17 indicates market-average volatility.

Analyst Consensus

คำแนะนำ

none

เป้าหมายต่ำ

$156.00

เป้าหมายเฉลี่ย

$228.78

เป้าหมายสูง

$280.00

จากนักวิเคราะห์ 23 คน

เกี่ยวกับ ODFL

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. The company offers regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services, as well as expedited transportation services. It also provides various value-added services, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. In addition, the company operates fleet maintenance centers. As of December 31, 2025, it owned and operated 10,184 tractors, 30,824 linehaul trailers, and 14,313 pickup and delivery trailers. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina.

United States20,173 พนักงานเว็บไซต์ ↗

ODFL Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $85.82 by approximately 51.3%. Trailing P/E: 33.9x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 19.4% and return on equity of 24.8%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 10.4% and earnings growth of 32.3%. Risk profile: beta of 1.17. Consensus: none.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 33.9x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Expanding

Rev 10.4%

Revenue is outpacing the market.

Valuation Snapshot

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $85.82 by approximately 51.3%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 33.9x. Forward P/E of 26.4x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 6.5x. Price-to-book is 8.0x. EV/EBITDA sits at 19.9x. Market capitalization is $36.66B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 10.4% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 32.3%. Profit margins are 19.4%. Return on equity is 24.8%. Return on assets is 15.8%.

Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.

Risk Profile

Beta of 1.17 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $-263942008.00.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $228.78 implies 29.8% upside. Target range spans $156.00 to $280.00. 23 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: none.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

ODFL Overvalued

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $85.82 by approximately 51.3%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs ODFL stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, ODFL appears to trade above fair value by approximately 51.3%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is ODFL fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for ODFL is $85.82, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is ODFL compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for ODFL: a beta of 1.17 is near market average. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs ODFL still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 10.4% and earnings growth of 32.3%. Profit margins are 19.4%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about ODFL?
Analyst consensus target is $228.78, implying 29.8% upside. The street recommendation is "none".
DividendDoes ODFL pay a dividend?
Yes. ODFL currently offers a dividend yield of 0.7%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for ODFL?
Key catalysts include Industrials sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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