NVR Stock Analysis
NYQ · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
$6284.59
-13.02 (-0.21%)
NVR Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
NVR Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
NVR Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$16.83B
P/E Ratio
16.33
Forward P/E
15.69
PEG Ratio
4.97
P/B Ratio
4.96
EPS
$384.78
Dividend Yield
—
52W Range
$5501.01 – $8200.00
Beta
0.91
Volume
0.0M
ROE
31.5%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Revenue Growth
-10.9%
Gross Margin
21.8%
EV/EBITDA
10.92
Analyst Target
$6717.80
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 16.3x. Forward P/E of 15.7x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 4.96x. EV/EBITDA sits at 10.92x. Market capitalization is $16.83B. Revenue is contracting at -10.9% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -22.6%. Profit margins are 11.8%. Return on equity is 31.5%. Beta of 0.91 indicates market-average volatility.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Hold
Low Target
$5664.00
Mean Target
$6717.80
High Target
$7400.00
Based on 5 analysts
About NVR
NVR, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company operates through Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking segments. It engages in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes names. The company markets its Ryan Homes products to first-time and first-time move-up buyers; and NVHomes and Heartland Homes products to move-up and luxury buyers. It also provides various mortgage related services to its homebuilding customers, as well as brokers title insurance; performs title searches; and sells mortgage loans to investors in the secondary markets on a servicing released basis. The company primarily serves Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, Washington, D.C., New Jersey, Eastern Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, Western Pennsylvania, Indiana, Illinois, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Florida, Georgia, and Kentucky. NVR, Inc. was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
NVR Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
General investorWatch out for
Premium valuation, Revenue contraction, Earnings declineNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
NVR, Inc. (NVR) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $5217.93 by approximately 17.0%. Trailing P/E: 16.3x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 11.8% and return on equity of 31.5%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of -10.9% and earnings growth of -22.6%. Risk profile: beta of 0.91. Consensus: hold.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 16.3x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Contracting
Rev -10.9%
Top-line revenue is shrinking.
Valuation Snapshot
NVR, Inc. (NVR) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $5217.93 by approximately 17.0%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 16.3x. Forward P/E of 15.7x indicates stable forward expectations. Price-to-sales is 1.7x. Price-to-book is 5.0x. EV/EBITDA sits at 10.9x. Market capitalization is $16.83B.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is contracting at -10.9% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -22.6%. Profit margins are 11.8%. Return on equity is 31.5%. Return on assets is 16.5%.
Why it matters: Falling revenue can signal losing market share or industry headwinds.
Risk Profile
Beta of 0.91 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $-3480960.00.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $6717.80 implies 6.9% upside. Target range spans $5664.00 to $7400.00. 5 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: hold.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Free cash flow yield of 6.5% is attractive for cash-flow-focused investors.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
NVR Overvalued
NVR, Inc. (NVR) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $5217.93 by approximately 17.0%.
Frequently Asked Questions
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.