Northern Trust (NTRS) Stock Analysis
NMS · Financial Services · Asset Management
$174.75
-0.98 (-0.56%)
NTRS Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
NTRS Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
NTRS Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$31.97B
P/E Ratio
15.03
Forward P/E
13.74
PEG Ratio
0.99
P/B Ratio
2.55
EPS
$11.63
Dividend Yield
1.87%
52W Range
$121.12 – $195.78
Beta
1.26
Volume
0.0M
ROE
17.1%
Profit Margin
24.7%
Revenue Growth
36.4%
Gross Margin
—
EV/EBITDA
—
Analyst Target
$184.27
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 15.0x. Forward P/E of 13.7x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 2.55x. Market capitalization is $31.97B. Revenue is growing at 36.4% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 98.6%. Profit margins are 24.7%. Return on equity is 17.1%. Beta of 1.26 indicates elevated market sensitivity.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Hold
Low Target
$158.00
Mean Target
$184.27
High Target
$208.00
Based on 13 analysts
About Northern Trust
Northern Trust Corporation, a financial holding company, provides wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking solutions for corporations, institutions, families, and individuals. It operates in two segments, Asset Servicing and Wealth Management. The Asset Servicing segment offers asset servicing and related services, including custody, fund administration, investment operations outsourcing, investment management, investment risk and analytics services, employee benefit services, securities lending, foreign exchange, treasury management, brokerage, transition management, banking, and cash management services. It serves corporate and public retirement funds, foundations, endowments, fund managers, insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds, and other institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers trust, investment management, custody, and philanthropic services; financial consulting; guardianship and estate administration; family business consulting; family financial education; brokerage; and private and business banking services. This segment also provides global custody, fiduciary services, family office consulting, and technology solutions to high-net-worth individuals and families, business owners, executives, professionals, retirees, and established privately held businesses. In addition, it offers asset management and related services comprising active and passive equity; active and passive fixed income; cash management; multi-asset and alternative asset classes that include private equity and hedge funds of funds; and multi-manager advisory services and products through separately managed accounts, bank common and collective funds, registered investment companies, exchange-traded funds, non-U.S. collective investment funds, and unregistered private investment funds. Further, the company provides overlay and other risk management services. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
NTRS Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
Fairly ValuedBest for
Quality-focused portfoliosWatch out for
High volatilityNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $154.87 by approximately 11.4%. Trailing P/E: 15.0x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 24.7% and return on equity of 17.1%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 36.4% and earnings growth of 98.6%. Risk profile: elevated market beta of 1.26. Consensus: hold.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Fairly Valued
P/E 15.0x
Price is close to fair value estimate.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 36.4%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Risk
Elevated
Beta 1.26
Expect bigger swings than the market.
Valuation Snapshot
Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $154.87 by approximately 11.4%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 15.0x. Forward P/E of 13.7x indicates stable forward expectations. Price-to-sales is 3.5x. Price-to-book is 2.6x. Market capitalization is $31.97B.
Why it matters: A fairly valued stock means you are paying roughly what the business is worth today.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 36.4% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 98.6%. Profit margins are 24.7%. Return on equity is 17.1%. Return on assets is 1.3%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Beta of 1.26 indicates elevated market sensitivity. Net debt position is $6.34B.
Why it matters: A riskier stock can fall more in a downturn. Make sure your portfolio can handle the volatility.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $184.27 implies 5.4% upside. Target range spans $158.00 to $208.00. 13 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: hold.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Strong profitability metrics may appeal to quality-focused portfolios. Free cash flow yield of 14.9% is attractive for cash-flow-focused investors.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
NTRS Fairly Valued
Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $154.87 by approximately 11.4%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs NTRS stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is NTRS fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is NTRS compared with other stocks?
GrowthIs NTRS still growing?
AnalystWhat do analysts think about NTRS?
DividendDoes NTRS pay a dividend?
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for NTRS?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.