NOC Stock Analysis
NYQ · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
$511.85
+1.33 (+0.26%)
NOC Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
NOC Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
NOC Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Marktkapitalisatie
$72.71B
P/E
16.27
Forward P/E
16.81
PEG
3.38
P/B
4.07
EPS
$31.45
Dividendrendement
1.94%
52W bereik
$479.02 – $774.00
Beta
-0.11
Volume
0.0M
ROE
27.0%
Winstmarge
10.5%
Omzetgroei
5.1%
Brutomarge
20.1%
EV/EBITDA
12.03
Analystendoel
$644.91
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 16.3x. Forward P/E of 16.8x indicates stable forward expectations. Price-to-book is 4.07x. EV/EBITDA sits at 12.03x. Market capitalization is $72.71B. Revenue is growing at 5.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -5.8%. Profit margins are 10.5%. Return on equity is 27.0%.
Analyst Consensus
Aanbeveling
Buy
Doel laag
$538.00
Doel gemiddeld
$644.91
Doel hoog
$815.00
Gebaseerd op 22 analisten
Over NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense technology company in the United States, Asia/Pacific, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems and Space Systems. The Aeronautics Systems segment designs, develops, produces, integrates, sustains, and modernizes aircraft systems. This segment also offers unmanned autonomous aircraft systems, including high-altitude long-endurance strategic, surveillance and reconnaissance systems; and strategic long-range strike aircraft, tactical fighter and air dominance aircraft, and airborne battle management and command and control systems. Its Defense Systems segment designs, develops, integrates, and produces strategic deterrent systems, tactical weapons, and missile defense solutions; and provides sustainment, modernization, and training services for manned and unmanned aircraft and electronics systems. This segment also offers strategic missiles; integrated all-domain command and control systems; precision strike weapons; tactical solid rocket motors, and high-speed air-breathing and hypersonic systems; high-performance gun systems, ammunition, precision munitions, and advanced fuzes; and sustainment, operation, and modernization. The Mission Systems segment provides command, control, communication and computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems; radar, electro-optical/infrared, and acoustic sensors; electronic warfare systems; advanced communications and network systems; microelectronics; navigation and positioning sensors; maritime power, propulsion, and payload launch systems; cyber solutions; and intelligence processing systems. Its Space Systems segment offers satellites, spacecraft systems, subsystems, sensors, and payloads; ground systems; missile defense systems and interceptors; and launch vehicles and related propulsion systems. The company was founded in 1939 and is based in Falls Church, Virginia.
NOC Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
General investorWatch out for
Premium valuation, Earnings declineNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $374.99 by approximately 26.7%. Trailing P/E: 16.3x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 10.5% and return on equity of 27.0%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 5.1% and earnings growth of -5.8%. Consensus: buy.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 16.3x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 5.1%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Risk
Low
Movement is likely to track the broader market.
Valuation Snapshot
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $374.99 by approximately 26.7%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 16.3x. Forward P/E of 16.8x indicates stable forward expectations. Price-to-sales is 1.7x. Price-to-book is 4.1x. EV/EBITDA sits at 12.0x. Market capitalization is $72.71B.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 5.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -5.8%. Profit margins are 10.5%. Return on equity is 27.0%. Return on assets is 7.1%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Net debt position is $14.75B.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $644.91 implies 26.0% upside. Target range spans $538.00 to $815.00. 22 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
NOC Overvalued
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $374.99 by approximately 26.7%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs NOC stock overvalued right now?
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Gegevens: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub