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UtilitiesQuantSoar snapshot generatedΒ·Data source: Yahoo FinanceΒ·Market data may be delayed
NI

NI Stock Analysis

NYQ Β· Utilities Β· Utilities - Regulated Gas

$39.19

-0.23 (-0.58%)

NI Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

NI Stock Snapshot β€” Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

NI Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Market Cap

$18.79B

P/E Ratio

20.85

Forward P/E

17.39

PEG Ratio

2.03

P/B Ratio

1.96

EPS

$1.88

Dividend Yield

3.04%

52W Range

$38.95 – $49.21

Beta

0.54

Volume

1.6M

ROE

8.5%

Profit Margin

13.2%

Revenue Growth

4.6%

Gross Margin

51.0%

EV/EBITDA

12.76

Analyst Target

$49.57

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 20.8x. Forward P/E of 17.4x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 1.96x. EV/EBITDA sits at 12.76x. Market capitalization is $18.79B. Revenue is growing at 4.6% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -58.4%. Profit margins are 13.2%. Return on equity is 8.5%. Beta of 0.54 indicates defensive profile.

Analyst Consensus

Recommendation

Buy

Low Target

$43.00

Mean Target

$49.57

High Target

$55.00

Based on 14 analysts

About NI

NiSource Inc., an energy holding company, operates as a regulated natural gas and electric utility company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Columbia Operations and NIPSCO Operations. The company provides natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers through approximately 37,300 miles of distribution main pipeline and the associated individual customer service lines; and 310 miles of transmission main pipeline in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, and Maryland. It also generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 0.5 million customers in various counties in the northern part of Indiana, as well as engages in wholesale electric and transmission transactions. It owns and operates steam coal generating stations in Wheatfield and Michigan City; combined cycle gas turbine in West Terre Haute; natural gas generating units in Wheatfield; hydro generating plants in Carroll County and White County; wind generating units in White County; and solar generating units in Sullivan County, Gibson County, Jasper County, and White County. The company was formerly known as NIPSCO Industries, Inc. and changed its name to NiSource Inc. in April 1999. NiSource Inc. was founded in 1847 and is headquartered in Merrillville, Indiana.

United States7,668 employeesWebsite β†—

NI Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation, Earnings decline

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

NiSource Inc. (NI) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $27.68 by approximately 29.4%. Trailing P/E: 20.8x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 13.2% and return on equity of 8.5%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 4.6% and earnings growth of -58.4%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.54. Consensus: buy.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 20.8x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Stable

Rev 4.6%

Revenue is moving sideways.

Risk

Low

Beta 0.54

Movement is likely to track the broader market.

Valuation Snapshot

NiSource Inc. (NI) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $27.68 by approximately 29.4%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 20.8x. Forward P/E of 17.4x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 2.7x. Price-to-book is 2.0x. EV/EBITDA sits at 12.8x. Market capitalization is $18.79B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 4.6% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -58.4%. Profit margins are 13.2%. Return on equity is 8.5%. Return on assets is 3.2%.

Why it matters: Stable revenue is fine, but watch for margin pressure that could limit profit growth.

Risk Profile

Beta of 0.54 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $17.37B.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $49.57 implies 26.5% upside. Target range spans $43.00 to $55.00. 14 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value βˆ’ Displayed Price) / Displayed Price Γ— 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to Β±25) + Whale sentiment (up to Β±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to Β±10) + Technical signal (up to Β±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

NI Overvalued

NiSource Inc. (NI) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $27.68 by approximately 29.4%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs NI stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, NI appears to trade above fair value by approximately 29.4%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is NI fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for NI is $27.68, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is NI compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for NI: a beta of 0.54 suggests a defensive profile. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs NI still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 4.6% and earnings contraction of 58.4%. Profit margins are 13.2%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about NI?
Analyst consensus target is $49.57, implying 26.5% upside. The street recommendation is "buy".
DividendDoes NI pay a dividend?
Yes. NI currently offers a dividend yield of 3.0%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for NI?
Key catalysts include Utilities sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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About the Author

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) β€” Founder

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.

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Investment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC

Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.