NI Stock Analysis
NYQ Β· Utilities Β· Utilities - Regulated Gas
$39.19
-0.23 (-0.58%)
NI Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
NI Stock Snapshot β Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
NI Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$18.79B
P/E Ratio
20.85
Forward P/E
17.39
PEG Ratio
2.03
P/B Ratio
1.96
EPS
$1.88
Dividend Yield
3.04%
52W Range
$38.95 β $49.21
Beta
0.54
Volume
1.6M
ROE
8.5%
Profit Margin
13.2%
Revenue Growth
4.6%
Gross Margin
51.0%
EV/EBITDA
12.76
Analyst Target
$49.57
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 20.8x. Forward P/E of 17.4x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 1.96x. EV/EBITDA sits at 12.76x. Market capitalization is $18.79B. Revenue is growing at 4.6% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -58.4%. Profit margins are 13.2%. Return on equity is 8.5%. Beta of 0.54 indicates defensive profile.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Buy
Low Target
$43.00
Mean Target
$49.57
High Target
$55.00
Based on 14 analysts
About NI
NiSource Inc., an energy holding company, operates as a regulated natural gas and electric utility company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Columbia Operations and NIPSCO Operations. The company provides natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers through approximately 37,300 miles of distribution main pipeline and the associated individual customer service lines; and 310 miles of transmission main pipeline in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, and Maryland. It also generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 0.5 million customers in various counties in the northern part of Indiana, as well as engages in wholesale electric and transmission transactions. It owns and operates steam coal generating stations in Wheatfield and Michigan City; combined cycle gas turbine in West Terre Haute; natural gas generating units in Wheatfield; hydro generating plants in Carroll County and White County; wind generating units in White County; and solar generating units in Sullivan County, Gibson County, Jasper County, and White County. The company was formerly known as NIPSCO Industries, Inc. and changed its name to NiSource Inc. in April 1999. NiSource Inc. was founded in 1847 and is headquartered in Merrillville, Indiana.
NI Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
General investorWatch out for
Premium valuation, Earnings declineNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
NiSource Inc. (NI) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $27.68 by approximately 29.4%. Trailing P/E: 20.8x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 13.2% and return on equity of 8.5%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 4.6% and earnings growth of -58.4%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.54. Consensus: buy.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 20.8x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Stable
Rev 4.6%
Revenue is moving sideways.
Risk
Low
Beta 0.54
Movement is likely to track the broader market.
Valuation Snapshot
NiSource Inc. (NI) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $27.68 by approximately 29.4%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 20.8x. Forward P/E of 17.4x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 2.7x. Price-to-book is 2.0x. EV/EBITDA sits at 12.8x. Market capitalization is $18.79B.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 4.6% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -58.4%. Profit margins are 13.2%. Return on equity is 8.5%. Return on assets is 3.2%.
Why it matters: Stable revenue is fine, but watch for margin pressure that could limit profit growth.
Risk Profile
Beta of 0.54 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $17.37B.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $49.57 implies 26.5% upside. Target range spans $43.00 to $55.00. 14 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value β Displayed Price) / Displayed Price Γ 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to Β±25) + Whale sentiment (up to Β±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to Β±10) + Technical signal (up to Β±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
NI Overvalued
NiSource Inc. (NI) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $27.68 by approximately 29.4%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs NI stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is NI fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is NI compared with other stocks?
GrowthIs NI still growing?
AnalystWhat do analysts think about NI?
DividendDoes NI pay a dividend?
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for NI?
Related Stocks
About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) β Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.