HealthcareQuantSoar snapshot generated·Data source: Yahoo Finance·Market data may be delayed
MO

MOH Stock Analysis

NYQ · Healthcare · Healthcare Plans

$190.86

-2.45 (-1.27%)

MOH Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

MOH Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

MOH Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Marktkapitalisatie

$9.96B

P/E

1272.40

Forward P/E

19.59

PEG

0.89

P/B

2.38

EPS

$0.15

Dividendrendement

—

52W bereik

$121.06 – $244.89

Beta

0.76

Volume

0.7M

ROE

-0.2%

Winstmarge

-0.0%

Omzetgroei

-5.7%

Brutomarge

8.4%

EV/EBITDA

12.82

Analystendoel

$209.12

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 1272.4x. Forward P/E of 19.6x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 2.38x. EV/EBITDA sits at 12.82x. Market capitalization is $9.96B. Revenue is contracting at -5.7% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -75.3%. Beta of 0.76 indicates defensive profile.

Analyst Consensus

Aanbeveling

Hold

Doel laag

$147.00

Doel gemiddeld

$209.12

Doel hoog

$266.00

Gebaseerd op 17 analisten

Over MOH

Molina Healthcare, Inc. provides managed healthcare services to low-income families and individuals under the Medicaid and Medicare programs and through the state insurance marketplaces in the United States. It operates through Medicaid, Medicare, Marketplace, and Other segments. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California.

United States19,000 medewerkersWebsite ↗

MOH Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation, Revenue contraction, Earnings decline

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $89.99 by approximately 52.8%. Trailing P/E: 1272.4x. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of -5.7% and earnings growth of -75.3%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.76. Consensus: hold.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 1272.4x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Contracting

Rev -5.7%

Top-line revenue is shrinking.

Risk

Low

Beta 0.76

Movement is likely to track the broader market.

Valuation Snapshot

Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $89.99 by approximately 52.8%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 1272.4x. Forward P/E of 19.6x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 0.2x. Price-to-book is 2.4x. EV/EBITDA sits at 12.8x. Market capitalization is $9.96B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is contracting at -5.7% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -75.3%. Return on assets is 1.2%.

Why it matters: Falling revenue can signal losing market share or industry headwinds.

Risk Profile

Beta of 0.76 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $-4962000384.00.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $209.12 implies 9.6% upside. Target range spans $147.00 to $266.00. 17 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: hold.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

MOH Overvalued

Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $89.99 by approximately 52.8%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs MOH stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, MOH appears to trade above fair value by approximately 52.8%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is MOH fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for MOH is $89.99, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is MOH compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for MOH: a beta of 0.76 suggests a defensive profile. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs MOH still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue contraction of 5.7% and earnings contraction of 75.3%. Profit margins are not available.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about MOH?
Analyst consensus target is $209.12, implying 9.6% upside. The street recommendation is "hold".
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for MOH?
Key catalysts include Healthcare sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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