QuantSoar
QuantSoar snapshot generated·Data source: Yahoo Finance·Market data may be delayed
MD

MDLZ Stock Analysis

NMS · Consumer Defensive · Confectioners

$60.25

-0.61 (-1.00%)

OverviewTechnicalRiskWhaleEarningsOptionsShort InterestESG

MDLZ Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

MDLZ Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

MDLZ Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Market Cap

$76.90B

P/E Ratio

22.07

Forward P/E

17.93

PEG Ratio

0.89

P/B Ratio

2.90

EPS

$2.73

Dividend Yield

3.45%

52W Range

$51.20 – $66.65

Beta

0.40

Volume

5.6M

ROE

13.3%

Profit Margin

8.9%

Revenue Growth

4.1%

Gross Margin

31.1%

EV/EBITDA

16.00

Analyst Target

$69.13

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 22.1x. Forward P/E of 17.9x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 2.90x. EV/EBITDA sits at 16.00x. Market capitalization is $76.90B. Revenue is growing at 4.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 144.9%. Profit margins are 8.9%. Return on equity is 13.3%. Beta of 0.40 indicates defensive profile.

Analyst Consensus

Recommendation

Buy

Low Target

$55.00

Mean Target

$69.13

High Target

$77.00

Based on 23 analysts

About MDLZ

Mondelez International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and sells snack food and beverage products in Latin America, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company provides biscuits and baked snacks, including cookies, crackers, salted snacks, snack bars, and cakes and pastries; chocolates; and gums and candies, as well as various cheese, grocery, and powdered beverage products. Its brand portfolio includes Oreo, Ritz, LU, CLIF Bar, Tate's Bake Shop biscuits and baked snacks, Cadbury Dairy Milk, Milka, and Toblerone chocolate. It serves supermarket chains, wholesalers, supercenters, club stores, mass merchandisers, distributors, convenience stores, gasoline stations, drug stores, value stores, and other retail food outlets through direct store delivery, company-owned and satellite warehouses, distribution centers, third-party distributors, and other facilities, as well as through independent sales offices and agents. The company also sells products directly to businesses and consumers through e-retail platforms, retailer digital platforms, as well as through its direct-to-consumer websites and social media platforms. Mondelez International, Inc. was formerly known as Kraft Foods Inc. and changed its name to Mondelez International, Inc. in October 2012. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

United States91,000 employeesWebsite ↗

Trade MDLZ on Interactive Brokers

Low-cost global trading

MDLZ Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $35.62 by approximately 40.9%. Trailing P/E: 22.1x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 8.9% and return on equity of 13.3%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 4.1% and earnings growth of 144.9%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.40. Consensus: buy.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 22.1x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Stable

Rev 4.1%

Revenue is moving sideways.

Risk

Low

Beta 0.40

Movement is likely to track the broader market.

Valuation Snapshot

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $35.62 by approximately 40.9%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 22.1x. Forward P/E of 17.9x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 1.9x. Price-to-book is 2.9x. EV/EBITDA sits at 16.0x. Market capitalization is $76.90B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 4.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 144.9%. Profit margins are 8.9%. Return on equity is 13.3%. Return on assets is 4.1%.

Why it matters: Stable revenue is fine, but watch for margin pressure that could limit profit growth.

Risk Profile

Beta of 0.40 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $20.34B.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $69.13 implies 14.7% upside. Target range spans $55.00 to $77.00. 23 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

MDLZ Overvalued

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $35.62 by approximately 40.9%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs MDLZ stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, MDLZ appears to trade above fair value by approximately 40.9%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is MDLZ fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for MDLZ is $35.62, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is MDLZ compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for MDLZ: a beta of 0.40 suggests a defensive profile. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs MDLZ still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 4.1% and earnings growth of 144.9%. Profit margins are 8.9%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about MDLZ?
Analyst consensus target is $69.13, implying 14.7% upside. The street recommendation is "buy".
DividendDoes MDLZ pay a dividend?
Yes. MDLZ currently offers a dividend yield of 3.5%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for MDLZ?
Key catalysts include Consumer Defensive sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

Related Stocks

Consumer Defensive

Explore top stocks in this sector

Explore sector →

Stock valuation guideMacro risk explained guide
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach)

About the Author

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.

Connect on LinkedIn

Investment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC

Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.