TechnologyQuantSoar snapshot generated·Data source: Yahoo Finance·Market data may be delayed
MC

MCHP Stock Analysis

NMS · Technology · Semiconductors

$77.68

-1.01 (-1.28%)

MCHP Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

MCHP Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

MCHP Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

市值

$42.18B

P/E

114.24

远期P/E

16.95

PEG

0.23

P/B

6.54

EPS

$0.68

股息收益率

2.31%

52周区间

$48.52 – $105.91

贝塔

1.74

成交量

2.4M

ROE

7.2%

利润率

9.3%

收入增长

38.0%

毛利率

60.2%

EV/EBITDA

31.77

分析师目标价

$107.84

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 114.2x. Forward P/E of 16.9x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 6.54x. EV/EBITDA sits at 31.77x. Market capitalization is $42.18B. Revenue is growing at 38.0% on a trailing basis. Profit margins are 9.3%. Return on equity is 7.2%. Beta of 1.74 indicates elevated market sensitivity.

Analyst Consensus

推荐

Buy

目标价(低)

$80.00

目标价(平均)

$107.84

目标价(高)

$135.00

基于25位分析师

关于MCHP

Microchip Technology Incorporated develops, manufactures, and sells smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in two segments, Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing. The company offers general-purpose 8-bit, 16-bit, 32-bit, and 64-bit mixed-signal microcontrollers; 32-bit and 64-bit embedded mixed-signal microprocessors; and specialized mixed-signal microcontrollers for automotive, industrial, computing, communications, lighting, power supplies, motor control, human-machine interface, security, wired connectivity, and wireless connectivity applications. It also provides analog products, including power management, linear, mixed-signal, high voltage, thermal management, discrete diodes and MOSFETs, radio frequency (RF), gate drivers, safety, security, timing, application-specific standard products, USB, Ethernet, wireless, and other interface products; field-programmable gate array (FPGA) products; and application development tools that enable system designers to program mixed-signal microcontroller, FPGA, and microprocessor products. In addition, the company offers memory products consisting of serial electrically erasable programmable read-only memory, serial flash memories, parallel flash memories, serial static random-access memory, and electrically erasable random-access memory for footprint devices. Further, it licenses its SuperFlash embedded flash and non-volatile memory technologies to foundries, integrated device manufacturers, and design partners for use in the manufacture of microcontroller products, gate arrays, RF, analog, and neuromorphic compute products. Additionally, the company offers engineering services; wafer foundry, assembly, and test subcontracting manufacturing services; and timing systems, application-specific integrated circuits, and products for aerospace applications. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Chandler, Arizona.

United States17,900 员工官网 ↗

MCHP Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

Growth-oriented investors

Watch out for

Premium valuation, High volatility

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $43.01 by approximately 44.6%. Trailing P/E: 114.2x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 9.3% and return on equity of 7.2%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 38.0%. Risk profile: elevated market beta of 1.74. Consensus: buy.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 114.2x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Expanding

Rev 38.0%

Revenue is outpacing the market.

Risk

Elevated

Beta 1.74

Expect bigger swings than the market.

Valuation Snapshot

Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $43.01 by approximately 44.6%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 114.2x. Forward P/E of 16.9x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 8.2x. Price-to-book is 6.5x. EV/EBITDA sits at 31.8x. Market capitalization is $42.18B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 38.0% on a trailing basis. Profit margins are 9.3%. Return on equity is 7.2%. Return on assets is 3.5%.

Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.

Risk Profile

Beta of 1.74 indicates elevated market sensitivity. Net debt position is $5.13B.

Why it matters: A riskier stock can fall more in a downturn. Make sure your portfolio can handle the volatility.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $107.84 implies 38.8% upside. Target range spans $80.00 to $135.00. 25 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Investor Fit

Premium valuation is supported by above-average growth, potentially fitting growth-oriented strategies.

Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

MCHP Overvalued

Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $43.01 by approximately 44.6%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs MCHP stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, MCHP appears to trade above fair value by approximately 44.6%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is MCHP fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for MCHP is $43.01, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is MCHP compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for MCHP: a beta of 1.74 indicates above-average market sensitivity. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs MCHP still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 38.0%. Profit margins are 9.3%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about MCHP?
Analyst consensus target is $107.84, implying 38.8% upside. The street recommendation is "buy".
DividendDoes MCHP pay a dividend?
Yes. MCHP currently offers a dividend yield of 2.3%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for MCHP?
Key catalysts include Technology sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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数据来源: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub