QuantSoar
QuantSoar snapshot generated·Data source: Yahoo Finance·Market data may be delayed
MA

MAR Stock Analysis

NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

$351.13

-0.90 (-0.26%)

OverviewTechnicalRiskWhaleEarningsOptionsShort InterestESG

MAR Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

MAR Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

MAR Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Market Cap

$91.56B

P/E Ratio

36.39

Forward P/E

26.69

PEG Ratio

1.76

P/B Ratio

-20.32

EPS

$9.65

Dividend Yield

0.83%

52W Range

$256.76 – $410.98

Beta

1.10

Volume

0.0M

ROE

—

Profit Margin

35.0%

Revenue Growth

11.1%

Gross Margin

79.2%

EV/EBITDA

22.66

Analyst Target

$380.80

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 36.4x. Forward P/E of 26.7x implies earnings expansion expected. EV/EBITDA sits at 22.66x. Market capitalization is $91.56B. Revenue is growing at 11.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 4.3%. Profit margins are 35.0%. Beta of 1.10 indicates market-average volatility.

Analyst Consensus

Recommendation

Buy

Low Target

$280.00

Mean Target

$380.80

High Target

$425.00

Based on 25 analysts

About MAR

Marriott International, Inc. engages in the operation, franchising, and licensing of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Greater China, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company operates properties under the JW Marriott, The Ritz-Carlton, The Luxury Collection, W Hotels, St. Regis, EDITION, Bvlgari, Marriott Hotels, Sheraton, Westin, Autograph Collection, Renaissance Hotels, Le Méridien, Delta Hotels by Marriott, MGM Collection with Marriott Bonvoy, Tribute Portfolio, Gaylord Hotels, Design Hotels, Marriott Executive Apartments, Apartments by Marriott Bonvoy, Courtyard by Marriott, Fairfield by Marriott, Residence Inn by Marriott, SpringHill Suites by Marriott, Four Points by Sheraton, TownePlace Suites by Marriott, Aloft Hotels, AC Hotels by Marriott, Moxy Hotels, Element Hotels, Protea Hotels by Marriott, citizenM, City Express by Marriott, and Four Points Flex by Sheraton brands. It also operates residences, timeshares, and yachts. The company was formerly known as New Marriott MI, Inc. and changed its name to Marriott International, Inc. in May 1998. Marriott International, Inc. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

United States414,000 employeesWebsite ↗

Trade MAR on Interactive Brokers

Low-cost global trading

MAR Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $174.75 by approximately 50.2%. Trailing P/E: 36.4x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 35.0%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 11.1% and earnings growth of 4.3%. Risk profile: beta of 1.10. Consensus: buy.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 36.4x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Expanding

Rev 11.1%

Revenue is outpacing the market.

Valuation Snapshot

Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $174.75 by approximately 50.2%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 36.4x. Forward P/E of 26.7x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 12.4x. EV/EBITDA sits at 22.7x. Market capitalization is $91.56B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 11.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 4.3%. Profit margins are 35.0%. Return on assets is 9.8%.

Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.

Risk Profile

Beta of 1.10 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $17.31B.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $380.80 implies 8.5% upside. Target range spans $280.00 to $425.00. 25 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

MAR Overvalued

Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $174.75 by approximately 50.2%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs MAR stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, MAR appears to trade above fair value by approximately 50.2%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is MAR fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for MAR is $174.75, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is MAR compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for MAR: a beta of 1.10 is near market average. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs MAR still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 11.1% and earnings growth of 4.3%. Profit margins are 35.0%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about MAR?
Analyst consensus target is $380.80, implying 8.5% upside. The street recommendation is "buy".
DividendDoes MAR pay a dividend?
Yes. MAR currently offers a dividend yield of 0.8%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for MAR?
Key catalysts include Consumer Cyclical sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

Related Stocks

Consumer Cyclical

Explore top stocks in this sector

Explore sector →

Stock valuation guideMacro risk explained guide
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach)

About the Author

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.

Connect on LinkedIn

Investment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC

Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.