KHC Stock Analysis
NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
$23.61
-0.02 (-0.11%)
KHC Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
KHC Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
KHC Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$27.99B
P/E Ratio
—
Forward P/E
11.31
PEG Ratio
0.99
P/B Ratio
0.78
EPS
$-2.88
Dividend Yield
6.77%
52W Range
$21.04 – $28.09
Beta
0.08
Volume
1.4M
ROE
-8.8%
Profit Margin
-13.6%
Revenue Growth
-1.4%
Gross Margin
33.5%
EV/EBITDA
8.10
Analyst Target
$25.47
Forward P/E of 11.3x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-book is 0.78x. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.10x. Market capitalization is $27.99B. Revenue is contracting at -1.4% on a trailing basis. Beta of 0.08 indicates defensive profile.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Hold
Low Target
$19.00
Mean Target
$25.47
High Target
$41.00
Based on 18 analysts
About KHC
The Kraft Heinz Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products in North America and internationally. Its products include condiments, sauces, dressings, and spreads; cheese, frozen potato products, and other frozen meals; meal kits, frozen snacks, and pickles; dry packaged desserts, refrigerated ready to eat desserts, and other dessert toppings; ready to drink and powdered beverages, and liquid concentrates; American sliced and recipe cheeses; mainstream coffee, coffee pods, and premium coffee; and cold cuts, bacon, and hot dogs. It offers its products under the Kraft, Oscar Mayer, Heinz, Philadelphia, Lunchables, Velveeta, Ore-Ida, Capri Sun, Maxwell House, Kool-Aid, Jell-O, ABC, Master, Quero, Golden Circle, Wattie's, Pudliszki, and Plasmon brands, as well as Bagel Bites, Claussen, A1, and Cool Whip. It sells its products through its own sales organizations, as well as through independent brokers, agents, and distributors to chain, wholesale, cooperative, and independent grocery accounts; convenience, value, and club stores; pharmacies and drug stores; mass merchants; foodservice distributors; institutions, including hotels, restaurants, bakeries, hospitals, health care facilities, and government agencies; and various e-commerce platforms and retailers. The company has a strategic partnership with the National Football League. The company was formerly known as H.J. Heinz Holding Corporation and changed its name to The Kraft Heinz Company in July 2015. The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
KHC Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
UndervaluedBest for
Value-oriented investorsWatch out for
Revenue contractionNon-zero inputs
3/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) trades below our multi-model fair value estimate of $30.00 by approximately 27.1%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of -1.4%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.08. Consensus: hold.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Undervalued
Price sits below our estimate of fair value.
Growth
Stable
Rev -1.4%
Revenue is moving sideways.
Risk
Low
Beta 0.08
Movement is likely to track the broader market.
Valuation Snapshot
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) trades below our multi-model fair value estimate of $30.00 by approximately 27.1%. Forward P/E of 11.3x indicates stable forward expectations. Price-to-sales is 1.1x. Price-to-book is 0.8x. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.1x. Market capitalization is $27.99B.
Why it matters: Buying below fair value can create a margin of safety, but always check earnings quality.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is contracting at -1.4% on a trailing basis. Return on assets is 3.6%.
Why it matters: Falling revenue can signal losing market share or industry headwinds.
Risk Profile
Beta of 0.08 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $16.32B.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $25.47 implies 7.9% upside. Target range spans $19.00 to $41.00. 18 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: hold.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
The combination of undervaluation and moderate risk may suit value-oriented investors. Free cash flow yield of 13.1% is attractive for cash-flow-focused investors.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
KHC Undervalued
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) trades below our multi-model fair value estimate of $30.00 by approximately 27.1%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs KHC stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is KHC fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is KHC compared with other stocks?
GrowthIs KHC still growing?
AnalystWhat do analysts think about KHC?
DividendDoes KHC pay a dividend?
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for KHC?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.