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QuantSoar snapshot generated·Data source: Yahoo Finance·Market data may be delayed
IC

ICE Stock Analysis

NYQ · Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

$153.62

-0.69 (-0.45%)

OverviewTechnicalRiskWhaleEarningsOptionsShort InterestESG

ICE Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

ICE Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

ICE Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Market Cap

$86.24B

P/E Ratio

21.70

Forward P/E

17.46

PEG Ratio

2.09

P/B Ratio

2.92

EPS

$7.08

Dividend Yield

1.35%

52W Range

$121.79 – $176.05

Beta

0.93

Volume

0.6M

ROE

14.1%

Profit Margin

38.2%

Revenue Growth

4.8%

Gross Margin

100.0%

EV/EBITDA

15.82

Analyst Target

$187.29

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 21.7x. Forward P/E of 17.5x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 2.92x. EV/EBITDA sits at 15.82x. Market capitalization is $86.24B. Revenue is growing at 4.8% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 14.2%. Profit margins are 38.2%. Return on equity is 14.1%. Beta of 0.93 indicates market-average volatility.

Analyst Consensus

Recommendation

Strong Buy

Low Target

$163.00

Mean Target

$187.29

High Target

$232.00

Based on 14 analysts

About ICE

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides technology and data to financial institutions, corporations, and government entities in the United States, the United Kingdom, the European Union, Canada, Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. It operates through three segments: Exchanges, Fixed Income and Data Services, and Mortgage Technology. The Exchanges segment operates regulated marketplace technology for the listing, trading, and clearing of an array of derivatives contracts and financial securities, such as commodities, interest rates, foreign exchange and equities, and corporate and exchange-traded funds, as well as data and connectivity services related to its exchanges and clearing houses. The Fixed Income and Data Services segment provides fixed income pricing, reference data, indices, analytics, and execution services, as well as global CDS clearing and multi-asset class data delivery technology. The Mortgage Technology segment offers a technology platform that provides customers comprehensive and digital workflow tools to address inefficiencies and mitigate risks that exist in the U.S. residential mortgage market life cycle from application through closing, servicing, and the secondary market. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

United States12,725 employeesWebsite ↗

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ICE Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $85.11 by approximately 44.6%. Trailing P/E: 21.7x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 38.2% and return on equity of 14.1%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 4.8% and earnings growth of 14.2%. Risk profile: beta of 0.93. Consensus: strong_buy.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 21.7x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Stable

Rev 4.8%

Revenue is moving sideways.

Valuation Snapshot

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $85.11 by approximately 44.6%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 21.7x. Forward P/E of 17.5x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 8.2x. Price-to-book is 2.9x. EV/EBITDA sits at 15.8x. Market capitalization is $86.24B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 4.8% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 14.2%. Profit margins are 38.2%. Return on equity is 14.1%. Return on assets is 2.2%.

Why it matters: Stable revenue is fine, but watch for margin pressure that could limit profit growth.

Risk Profile

Beta of 0.93 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $19.46B.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $187.29 implies 21.9% upside. Target range spans $163.00 to $232.00. 14 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: strong_buy.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

ICE Overvalued

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $85.11 by approximately 44.6%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs ICE stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, ICE appears to trade above fair value by approximately 44.6%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is ICE fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for ICE is $85.11, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is ICE compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for ICE: a beta of 0.93 is near market average. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs ICE still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 4.8% and earnings growth of 14.2%. Profit margins are 38.2%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about ICE?
Analyst consensus target is $187.29, implying 21.9% upside. The street recommendation is "strong_buy".
DividendDoes ICE pay a dividend?
Yes. ICE currently offers a dividend yield of 1.4%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for ICE?
Key catalysts include Financial Services sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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Phasakorn Traklang (Peach)

About the Author

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.

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Investment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC

Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.