HWM Stock Analysis
NYQ · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
$228.03
-4.35 (-1.87%)
HWM Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
HWM Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
HWM Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$90.94B
P/E Ratio
49.04
Forward P/E
35.31
PEG Ratio
0.80
P/B Ratio
15.91
EPS
$4.65
Dividend Yield
0.24%
52W Range
$183.83 – $310.00
Beta
1.19
Volume
0.1M
ROE
34.7%
Profit Margin
20.5%
Revenue Growth
24.1%
Gross Margin
36.0%
EV/EBITDA
34.65
Analyst Target
$337.74
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 49.0x. Forward P/E of 35.3x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 15.91x. EV/EBITDA sits at 34.65x. Market capitalization is $90.94B. Revenue is growing at 24.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 33.0%. Profit margins are 20.5%. Return on equity is 34.7%. Beta of 1.19 indicates market-average volatility.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Strong Buy
Low Target
$256.56
Mean Target
$337.74
High Target
$375.00
Based on 21 analysts
About HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc. provides advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries in the United States, Japan, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Italy, Canada, Poland, China, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. The Engine Products segment offers airfoils and seamless rolled rings primarily for aircraft engines and industrial gas turbines; and rotating and structural parts. The Fastening Systems segment produces aerospace fastening systems, as well as commercial transportation, industrial, and other fasteners; and latches, bearings, fluid fittings, and installation tools. The Engineered Structures segment provides titanium ingots and mill products, aluminum and nickel forgings, and machined components and assemblies for aerospace and defense applications; and titanium forgings, extrusions, and forming and machining services for airframe, wing, aero-engine, and landing gear components. The Forged Wheels segment offers forged aluminum wheels and related products for heavy-duty trucks and commercial transportation markets. The company was formerly known as Arconic Inc. Howmet Aerospace Inc. was founded in 1888 and is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
HWM Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
Growth-oriented investorsWatch out for
Premium valuationNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $56.98 by approximately 75.0%. Trailing P/E: 49.0x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 20.5% and return on equity of 34.7%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 24.1% and earnings growth of 33.0%. Risk profile: beta of 1.19. Consensus: strong_buy.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 49.0x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 24.1%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Valuation Snapshot
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $56.98 by approximately 75.0%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 49.0x. Forward P/E of 35.3x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 10.0x. Price-to-book is 15.9x. EV/EBITDA sits at 34.7x. Market capitalization is $90.94B.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 24.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 33.0%. Profit margins are 20.5%. Return on equity is 34.7%. Return on assets is 12.8%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Beta of 1.19 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $4.10B.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $337.74 implies 48.1% upside. Target range spans $256.56 to $375.00. 21 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: strong_buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Premium valuation is supported by above-average growth, potentially fitting growth-oriented strategies.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
HWM Overvalued
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $56.98 by approximately 75.0%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs HWM stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is HWM fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is HWM compared with other stocks?
GrowthIs HWM still growing?
AnalystWhat do analysts think about HWM?
DividendDoes HWM pay a dividend?
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for HWM?
Related Stocks
About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.