QuantSoar
QuantSoar snapshot generated·Data source: Yahoo Finance·Market data may be delayed
HL

HLT Stock Analysis

NYQ · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

$313.35

-0.56 (-0.18%)

OverviewTechnicalRiskWhaleEarningsOptionsShort InterestESG

HLT Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

HLT Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

HLT Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Market Cap

$70.52B

P/E Ratio

46.01

Forward P/E

29.97

PEG Ratio

1.30

P/B Ratio

-11.22

EPS

$6.81

Dividend Yield

0.19%

52W Range

$253.54 – $358.00

Beta

1.06

Volume

0.0M

ROE

—

Profit Margin

31.0%

Revenue Growth

2.5%

Gross Margin

79.0%

EV/EBITDA

27.11

Analyst Target

$353.00

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 46.0x. Forward P/E of 30.0x implies earnings expansion expected. EV/EBITDA sits at 27.11x. Market capitalization is $70.52B. Revenue is growing at 2.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 14.1%. Profit margins are 31.0%. Beta of 1.06 indicates market-average volatility.

Analyst Consensus

Recommendation

none

Low Target

$270.00

Mean Target

$353.00

High Target

$394.00

Based on 26 analysts

About HLT

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, engages in managing, franchising, and leasing hotels and resorts. It operates in two segments, Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The company engages in the hotel management and licensing of its brand names, trademarks, and service marks. It operates a brand portfolio of luxury, lifestyle, full service, focused service, all-suites hotel, and timeshare under the Waldorf Astoria Hotels & Resorts, LXR Hotels & Resorts, Conrad Hotels & Resorts, Signia by Hilton, NoMad, Canopy by Hilton, Graduate by Hilton, Tempo by Hilton, Motto by Hilton, Hilton Hotels & Resorts, DoubleTree by Hilton, Curio Collection by Hilton, Tapestry Collection by Hilton, Outset Collection by Hilton, Embassy Suites by Hilton, Homewood Suites by Hilton, Home2 Suites by Hilton, LivSmart Studios by Hilton, Hilton Garden Inn, Hampton by Hilton, Tru by Hilton, Spark by Hilton, Hilton Grand Vacations, Small Luxury Hotels of the World, AutoCamp, and Hilton Honors brand names. The company has operations in North America, South America, and Central America, including various Caribbean nations; Europe, the Middle East, and Africa; and the Asia Pacific. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

United States182,000 employeesWebsite ↗

Trade HLT on Interactive Brokers

Low-cost global trading

HLT Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $86.56 by approximately 72.4%. Trailing P/E: 46.0x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 31.0%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 2.5% and earnings growth of 14.1%. Risk profile: beta of 1.06. Consensus: none.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 46.0x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Stable

Rev 2.5%

Revenue is moving sideways.

Valuation Snapshot

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $86.56 by approximately 72.4%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 46.0x. Forward P/E of 30.0x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 13.8x. EV/EBITDA sits at 27.1x. Market capitalization is $70.52B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 2.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 14.1%. Profit margins are 31.0%. Return on assets is 11.0%.

Why it matters: Stable revenue is fine, but watch for margin pressure that could limit profit growth.

Risk Profile

Beta of 1.06 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $13.01B.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $353.00 implies 12.7% upside. Target range spans $270.00 to $394.00. 26 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: none.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

HLT Overvalued

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $86.56 by approximately 72.4%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs HLT stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, HLT appears to trade above fair value by approximately 72.4%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is HLT fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for HLT is $86.56, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is HLT compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for HLT: a beta of 1.06 is near market average. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs HLT still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 2.5% and earnings growth of 14.1%. Profit margins are 31.0%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about HLT?
Analyst consensus target is $353.00, implying 12.7% upside. The street recommendation is "none".
DividendDoes HLT pay a dividend?
Yes. HLT currently offers a dividend yield of 0.2%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for HLT?
Key catalysts include Consumer Cyclical sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

Related Stocks

Consumer Cyclical

Explore top stocks in this sector

Explore sector →

Stock valuation guideMacro risk explained guide
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach)

About the Author

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.

Connect on LinkedIn

Investment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC

Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.