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IndustrialsQuantSoar snapshot generatedΒ·Data source: Yahoo FinanceΒ·Market data may be delayed
GW

W.W. Grainger (GWW) Stock Analysis

NYQ Β· Industrials Β· Industrial Distribution

$1249.10

+6.03 (+0.48%)

GWW Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

GWW Stock Snapshot β€” Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

GWW Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Market Cap

$58.83B

P/E Ratio

31.80

Forward P/E

24.52

PEG Ratio

1.69

P/B Ratio

14.24

EPS

$39.28

Dividend Yield

0.80%

52W Range

$906.52 – $1419.91

Beta

1.03

Volume

0.1M

ROE

46.1%

Profit Margin

9.9%

Revenue Growth

10.3%

Gross Margin

39.4%

EV/EBITDA

19.01

Analyst Target

$1331.64

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 31.8x. Forward P/E of 24.5x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 14.24x. EV/EBITDA sits at 19.01x. Market capitalization is $58.83B. Revenue is growing at 10.3% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 20.5%. Profit margins are 9.9%. Return on equity is 46.1%. Beta of 1.03 indicates market-average volatility.

Analyst Consensus

Recommendation

Hold

Low Target

$1100.00

Mean Target

$1331.64

High Target

$1500.00

Based on 14 analysts

About W.W. Grainger

W.W. Grainger, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes maintenance, repair, and operating products and services primarily in North America, Japan, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through two segments, High-Touch Solutions North America and Endless Assortment. It provides safety, security, material handling and storage equipment, pumps and plumbing equipment, cleaning and maintenance, and metalworking and hand tools. The company also offers technical support and inventory management services. It serves smaller businesses to large corporations, government entities, and other institutions, as well as commercial, healthcare, and manufacturing industries through sales and service representatives, and electronic and ecommerce channels. W.W. Grainger, Inc. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.

United States22,100 employeesWebsite β†—

GWW Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $538.64 by approximately 56.9%. Trailing P/E: 31.8x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 9.9% and return on equity of 46.1%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 10.3% and earnings growth of 20.5%. Risk profile: beta of 1.03. Consensus: hold.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 31.8x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Expanding

Rev 10.3%

Revenue is outpacing the market.

Valuation Snapshot

W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $538.64 by approximately 56.9%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 31.8x. Forward P/E of 24.5x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 3.1x. Price-to-book is 14.2x. EV/EBITDA sits at 19.0x. Market capitalization is $58.83B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 10.3% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 20.5%. Profit margins are 9.9%. Return on equity is 46.1%. Return on assets is 19.9%.

Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.

Risk Profile

Beta of 1.03 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $2.21B.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $1331.64 implies 6.6% upside. Target range spans $1100.00 to $1500.00. 14 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: hold.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value βˆ’ Displayed Price) / Displayed Price Γ— 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to Β±25) + Whale sentiment (up to Β±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to Β±10) + Technical signal (up to Β±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

GWW Overvalued

W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $538.64 by approximately 56.9%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs GWW stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, GWW appears to trade above fair value by approximately 56.9%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is GWW fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for GWW is $538.64, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is GWW compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for GWW: a beta of 1.03 is near market average. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs GWW still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 10.3% and earnings growth of 20.5%. Profit margins are 9.9%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about GWW?
Analyst consensus target is $1331.64, implying 6.6% upside. The street recommendation is "hold".
DividendDoes GWW pay a dividend?
Yes. GWW currently offers a dividend yield of 0.8%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for GWW?
Key catalysts include Industrials sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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About the Author

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) β€” Founder

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.

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Investment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC

Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.