FDX Stock Analysis
NYQ · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
$284.96
-0.89 (-0.31%)
FDX Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
FDX Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
FDX Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$67.44B
P/E Ratio
15.36
Forward P/E
13.66
PEG Ratio
1.21
P/B Ratio
2.16
EPS
$18.55
Dividend Yield
1.71%
52W Range
$180.99 – $345.37
Beta
1.36
Volume
0.2M
ROE
14.8%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Revenue Growth
12.5%
Gross Margin
27.3%
EV/EBITDA
8.19
Analyst Target
$355.10
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 15.4x. Forward P/E of 13.7x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 2.16x. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.19x. Market capitalization is $67.44B. Revenue is growing at 12.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -4.3%. Profit margins are 4.7%. Return on equity is 14.8%. Beta of 1.36 indicates elevated market sensitivity.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Buy
Low Target
$160.00
Mean Target
$355.10
High Target
$479.00
Based on 26 analysts
About FDX
FedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Express U.S. Domestic and Express International. It provides e-commerce and digital solutions; dataworks; printing and shipping management, including digital printing, professional finishing, document creation, design solutions, direct mail, signs and graphics, custom-branded boxes, copying, computer rental, Wi-Fi, corporate print solutions, shredding, U.S. passport processing and renewal, and digital notarization; packing services, as well as packing supplies and boxes; document and business services; and retail access for package transportation. In addition, the company offers logistics services, air and ocean cargo transportation, specialty transportation, customs brokerage, trade management tools and data, and door-to-door solutions; and third party logistics and supply chain management solutions, such as inbound logistics, warehousing and distribution, fulfillment, contract packaging and product configuration, systems integration, returns process and disposition, test, repair, refurbishment, and product liquidation. Further, it provides sales, marketing, administrative, information technology, and back-office support services. FedEx Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
FDX Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
Fairly ValuedBest for
Higher-risk tolerance investorsWatch out for
High volatility, Earnings declineNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
FedEx Corporation (FDX) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $257.70 by approximately 9.6%. Trailing P/E: 15.4x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 4.7% and return on equity of 14.8%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 12.5% and earnings growth of -4.3%. Risk profile: elevated market beta of 1.36. Consensus: buy.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Fairly Valued
P/E 15.4x
Price is close to fair value estimate.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 12.5%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Risk
Elevated
Beta 1.36
Expect bigger swings than the market.
Valuation Snapshot
FedEx Corporation (FDX) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $257.70 by approximately 9.6%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 15.4x. Forward P/E of 13.7x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 0.7x. Price-to-book is 2.2x. EV/EBITDA sits at 8.2x. Market capitalization is $67.44B.
Why it matters: A fairly valued stock means you are paying roughly what the business is worth today.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 12.5% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -4.3%. Profit margins are 4.7%. Return on equity is 14.8%. Return on assets is 5.0%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Beta of 1.36 indicates elevated market sensitivity. Net debt position is $29.39B.
Why it matters: A riskier stock can fall more in a downturn. Make sure your portfolio can handle the volatility.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $355.10 implies 24.6% upside. Target range spans $160.00 to $479.00. 26 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Free cash flow yield of 7.6% is attractive for cash-flow-focused investors.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
FDX Fairly Valued
FedEx Corporation (FDX) trades near our multi-model fair value estimate of $257.70 by approximately 9.6%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs FDX stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is FDX fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is FDX compared with other stocks?
GrowthIs FDX still growing?
AnalystWhat do analysts think about FDX?
DividendDoes FDX pay a dividend?
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for FDX?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.