Fastenal (FAST) Stock Analysis
NMS · Industrials · Industrial Distribution
$50.48
+0.05 (+0.10%)
FAST Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
FAST Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
FAST Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$57.93B
P/E Ratio
43.15
Forward P/E
35.99
PEG Ratio
3.35
P/B Ratio
14.24
EPS
$1.17
Dividend Yield
1.90%
52W Range
$38.97 – $52.92
Beta
0.71
Volume
1.7M
ROE
34.3%
Profit Margin
15.5%
Revenue Growth
14.7%
Gross Margin
44.7%
EV/EBITDA
29.73
Analyst Target
$48.84
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 43.1x. Forward P/E of 36.0x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 14.24x. EV/EBITDA sits at 29.73x. Market capitalization is $57.93B. Revenue is growing at 14.7% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 14.6%. Profit margins are 15.5%. Return on equity is 34.3%. Beta of 0.71 indicates defensive profile.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Hold
Low Target
$39.90
Mean Target
$48.84
High Target
$59.00
Based on 13 analysts
About Fastenal
Fastenal Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction supplies in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It offers fasteners, and related industrial and construction supplies under the Fastenal name. The company's fastener products include threaded fasteners, bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and related washers that are used in manufactured products and construction projects, as well as in the maintenance and repair of machines. It offers miscellaneous supplies and hardware, including pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire ropes, strut products, rivets, and related accessories. The company serves the manufacturing market comprising original equipment manufacturers; maintenance, repair, and operations customers; non-residential construction market; farmers, truckers, railroads, mining companies, schools, and retail trades; and oil exploration, production, and refinement companies, as well as federal, state, and local governmental entities. Fastenal Company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, Minnesota.
FAST Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
General investorWatch out for
Premium valuationNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
Fastenal Company (FAST) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $18.43 by approximately 63.5%. Trailing P/E: 43.1x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 15.5% and return on equity of 34.3%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 14.7% and earnings growth of 14.6%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.71. Consensus: hold.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 43.1x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 14.7%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Risk
Low
Beta 0.71
Movement is likely to track the broader market.
Valuation Snapshot
Fastenal Company (FAST) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $18.43 by approximately 63.5%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 43.1x. Forward P/E of 36.0x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 6.6x. Price-to-book is 14.2x. EV/EBITDA sits at 29.7x. Market capitalization is $57.93B.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 14.7% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 14.6%. Profit margins are 15.5%. Return on equity is 34.3%. Return on assets is 21.5%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Beta of 0.71 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $236.80M.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $48.84 implies 3.3% downside. Target range spans $39.90 to $59.00. 13 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: hold.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
FAST Overvalued
Fastenal Company (FAST) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $18.43 by approximately 63.5%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs FAST stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is FAST fair value based on current fundamentals?
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DividendDoes FAST pay a dividend?
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for FAST?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.