EXPD Stock Analysis
NYQ · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
$187.72
+0.26 (+0.14%)
EXPD Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
EXPD Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
EXPD Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$24.40B
P/E Ratio
27.37
Forward P/E
23.59
PEG Ratio
2.97
P/B Ratio
11.52
EPS
$6.86
Dividend Yield
0.86%
52W Range
$112.95 – $194.59
Beta
1.06
Volume
0.0M
ROE
42.7%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Revenue Growth
32.1%
Gross Margin
13.5%
EV/EBITDA
18.92
Analyst Target
$177.71
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 27.4x. Forward P/E of 23.6x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 11.52x. EV/EBITDA sits at 18.92x. Market capitalization is $24.40B. Revenue is growing at 32.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 51.5%. Profit margins are 7.6%. Return on equity is 42.7%. Beta of 1.06 indicates market-average volatility.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
none
Low Target
$100.00
Mean Target
$177.71
High Target
$220.00
Based on 14 analysts
About EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services in the Americas, North Asia, South Asia, Europe, and Middle East, Africa, and India. The company offers airfreight services, such as air freight consolidation and forwarding; ocean freight and ocean services, including ocean freight consolidation, direct ocean forwarding, and order management; customs brokerage and other services, import, intra-continental ground transportation and delivery, and warehousing and distribution services; and customs clearance, purchase order management, vendor consolidation, time-definite transportation services, temperature-controlled transit, cargo insurance, specialized cargo monitoring and tracking, and other logistics solutions. It also provides optimization, trade compliance consulting, cargo insurance, cargo security, and solutions. In addition, it acts as a freight consolidator or as an agent for the airline that carries the shipment. Further, the company provides ancillary services that include preparation of shipping and customs documentation, packing, crating, insurance services, and the preparation of documentation to comply with local export and import laws. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.
EXPD Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
Growth-oriented investorsWatch out for
Premium valuationNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $100.01 by approximately 46.7%. Trailing P/E: 27.4x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 7.6% and return on equity of 42.7%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 32.1% and earnings growth of 51.5%. Risk profile: beta of 1.06. Consensus: none.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 27.4x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 32.1%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Valuation Snapshot
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $100.01 by approximately 46.7%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 27.4x. Forward P/E of 23.6x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 2.0x. Price-to-book is 11.5x. EV/EBITDA sits at 18.9x. Market capitalization is $24.40B.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 32.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 51.5%. Profit margins are 7.6%. Return on equity is 42.7%. Return on assets is 15.2%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Beta of 1.06 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $-464163008.00.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $177.71 implies 5.3% downside. Target range spans $100.00 to $220.00. 14 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: none.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Premium valuation is supported by above-average growth, potentially fitting growth-oriented strategies.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
EXPD Overvalued
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $100.01 by approximately 46.7%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs EXPD stock overvalued right now?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.