ESS Stock Analysis
NYQ · Real Estate · REIT - Residential
$270.44
-1.17 (-0.43%)
ESS Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
ESS Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
ESS Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$18.64B
P/E Ratio
42.19
Forward P/E
42.93
PEG Ratio
7.02
P/B Ratio
3.27
EPS
$6.41
Dividend Yield
3.81%
52W Range
$238.46 – $303.35
Beta
0.71
Volume
0.1M
ROE
7.7%
Profit Margin
20.9%
Revenue Growth
3.1%
Gross Margin
68.8%
EV/EBITDA
19.77
Analyst Target
$304.07
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 42.2x. Forward P/E of 42.9x indicates stable forward expectations. Price-to-book is 3.27x. EV/EBITDA sits at 19.77x. Market capitalization is $18.64B. Revenue is growing at 3.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -71.8%. Profit margins are 20.9%. Return on equity is 7.7%. Beta of 0.71 indicates defensive profile.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Hold
Low Target
$239.00
Mean Target
$304.07
High Target
$352.00
Based on 25 analysts
About ESS
Essex Property Trust, Inc., an S&P 500 company, is a fully integrated real estate investment trust. The firm acquires, develops, redevelops, and manages multifamily residential properties in selected West Coast markets. Essex currently has ownership interests in 258 apartment communities comprising over 62,000 apartment homes with an additional property in active development. Essex Property Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 1971 in Maryland and is based in San Mateo, United States.
ESS Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
General investorWatch out for
Premium valuation, Earnings declineNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $102.78 by approximately 62.0%. Trailing P/E: 42.2x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 20.9% and return on equity of 7.7%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 3.1% and earnings growth of -71.8%. Risk profile: defensive beta of 0.71. Consensus: hold.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 42.2x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Stable
Rev 3.1%
Revenue is moving sideways.
Risk
Low
Beta 0.71
Movement is likely to track the broader market.
Valuation Snapshot
Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $102.78 by approximately 62.0%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 42.2x. Forward P/E of 42.9x indicates stable forward expectations. Price-to-sales is 9.4x. Price-to-book is 3.3x. EV/EBITDA sits at 19.8x. Market capitalization is $18.64B.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 3.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -71.8%. Profit margins are 20.9%. Return on equity is 7.7%. Return on assets is 3.0%.
Why it matters: Stable revenue is fine, but watch for margin pressure that could limit profit growth.
Risk Profile
Beta of 0.71 indicates defensive profile. Net debt position is $6.68B.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $304.07 implies 12.4% upside. Target range spans $239.00 to $352.00. 25 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: hold.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Free cash flow yield of 5.0% is attractive for cash-flow-focused investors.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
ESS Overvalued
Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $102.78 by approximately 62.0%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs ESS stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is ESS fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is ESS compared with other stocks?
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DividendDoes ESS pay a dividend?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.