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AL

Allegion (ALLE) Stock Analysis

NYQ Β· Industrials Β· Security & Protection Services

$154.06

-0.42 (-0.27%)

ALLE Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

ALLE Stock Snapshot β€” Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

ALLE Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Market Cap

$13.10B

P/E Ratio

20.22

Forward P/E

15.76

PEG Ratio

2.05

P/B Ratio

6.19

EPS

$7.62

Dividend Yield

1.42%

52W Range

$125.00 – $183.11

Beta

0.84

Volume

0.0M

ROE

33.7%

Profit Margin

15.4%

Revenue Growth

12.7%

Gross Margin

44.8%

EV/EBITDA

14.33

Analyst Target

$174.64

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 20.2x. Forward P/E of 15.8x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 6.19x. EV/EBITDA sits at 14.33x. Market capitalization is $13.10B. Revenue is growing at 12.7% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 16.2%. Profit margins are 15.4%. Return on equity is 33.7%. Beta of 0.84 indicates market-average volatility.

Analyst Consensus

Recommendation

Buy

Low Target

$160.00

Mean Target

$174.64

High Target

$200.00

Based on 11 analysts

About Allegion

Allegion plc engages in the provision of security products and solutions worldwide. It is operating through two segments: Allegion Americas and Allegion International. The company offers door controls, door control system, and exit devices; doors, glass and door systems, and accessories; electronic security products and access control systems, including time, attendance, and workforce productivity; and locks, locksets, portable locks, and key systems. It also provides services and software, such as inspection, maintenance, and repair services for its automatic entrance solutions; software as a service, including access control, platform integration, and workforce management solutions; and ongoing aftermarket services, and design and installation offerings. In addition, the company sells its products and solutions to end-users in commercial, institutional, and residential facilities, including education, healthcare, government, hospitality, retail, commercial office, and single and multi-family residential markets under the CISA, Interflex, LCN, Schlage, SimonsVoss, and Von Duprin brands. It sells its products and solutions through distribution and retail channels, such as specialty distribution, e-commerce, and wholesalers, as well as through various retail channels comprising do-it-yourself home improvement centers, online and e-commerce platforms, and small specialty showroom outlets. Allegion plc was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.

Ireland13,300 employeesWebsite β†—

ALLE Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

General investor

Watch out for

Premium valuation

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

Allegion plc (ALLE) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $100.29 by approximately 34.9%. Trailing P/E: 20.2x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 15.4% and return on equity of 33.7%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 12.7% and earnings growth of 16.2%. Risk profile: beta of 0.84. Consensus: buy.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 20.2x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Expanding

Rev 12.7%

Revenue is outpacing the market.

Valuation Snapshot

Allegion plc (ALLE) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $100.29 by approximately 34.9%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 20.2x. Forward P/E of 15.8x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 3.1x. Price-to-book is 6.2x. EV/EBITDA sits at 14.3x. Market capitalization is $13.10B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 12.7% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 16.2%. Profit margins are 15.4%. Return on equity is 33.7%. Return on assets is 11.0%.

Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.

Risk Profile

Beta of 0.84 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $1.90B.

Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $174.64 implies 13.4% upside. Target range spans $160.00 to $200.00. 11 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Investor Fit

Free cash flow yield of 5.2% is attractive for cash-flow-focused investors.

Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value βˆ’ Displayed Price) / Displayed Price Γ— 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to Β±25) + Whale sentiment (up to Β±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to Β±10) + Technical signal (up to Β±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

ALLE Overvalued

Allegion plc (ALLE) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $100.29 by approximately 34.9%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs ALLE stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, ALLE appears to trade above fair value by approximately 34.9%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is ALLE fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for ALLE is $100.29, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is ALLE compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for ALLE: a beta of 0.84 is near market average. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs ALLE still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 12.7% and earnings growth of 16.2%. Profit margins are 15.4%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about ALLE?
Analyst consensus target is $174.64, implying 13.4% upside. The street recommendation is "buy".
DividendDoes ALLE pay a dividend?
Yes. ALLE currently offers a dividend yield of 1.4%.
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for ALLE?
Key catalysts include Industrials sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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About the Author

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) β€” Founder

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.

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Investment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC

Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.