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HealthcareQuantSoar snapshot generatedΒ·Data source: Yahoo FinanceΒ·Market data may be delayed
AL

ALGN Stock Analysis

NMS Β· Healthcare Β· Medical Instruments & Supplies

$144.94

-1.84 (-1.25%)

ALGN Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals

ALGN Stock Snapshot β€” Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals

ALGN Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile

Key Financial Ratios

Market Cap

$10.30B

P/E Ratio

25.21

Forward P/E

11.59

PEG Ratio

0.62

P/B Ratio

2.44

EPS

$5.75

Dividend Yield

β€”

52W Range

$123.02 – $200.44

Beta

1.64

Volume

0.1M

ROE

10.2%

Profit Margin

10.0%

Revenue Growth

4.3%

Gross Margin

70.7%

EV/EBITDA

10.20

Analyst Target

$206.36

The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 25.2x. Forward P/E of 11.6x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 2.44x. EV/EBITDA sits at 10.20x. Market capitalization is $10.30B. Revenue is growing at 4.3% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -12.1%. Profit margins are 10.0%. Return on equity is 10.2%. Beta of 1.64 indicates elevated market sensitivity.

Analyst Consensus

Recommendation

Buy

Low Target

$170.00

Mean Target

$206.36

High Target

$235.00

Based on 14 analysts

About ALGN

Align Technology, Inc. provides Invisalign clear aligners, Vivera retainers, and iTero intraoral scanners and services in the United States, Switzerland, and internationally. The company's Clear Aligner segment offers Invisalign comprehensive package to treat adults and teens malocclusion and features, and orthodontic needs of teenage or younger patients; and Invisalign First Phase I and Invisalign First Comprehensive Phase 2 package for younger patients between the ages of six and ten years with a mixture of primary/baby and permanent teeth. This segment also provides Invisalign express, Invisalign lite, and Invisalign moderate; Invisalign Go, Invisalign Go express, and Invisalign Go Plus; retention products, Invisalign training, adjusting tools used by dental professionals during treatment, ancillary Invisalign accessory products, and other oral health products; Invisalign Professional Whitening system; Invisalign Palatal Expander, a 3D printed orthodontic device; and 3D printing solutions. Its Imaging Systems and CAD/CAM Services segment offers iTero intraoral scanning system, a single hardware platform for restorative or orthodontic procedures; exocad, a computer-aided design and computer-aided manufacturing software; orthodontist software for digital records storage, orthodontic diagnosis, and fabrication of printed models and retainers; and restorative software for general practitioner dentists, prosthodontists, periodontists, and oral surgeons. This segment also offers Invisalign outcome simulator, a chair-side and cloud-based application for the iTero scanner; Invisalign progress assessment tool; Align Oral Health Suite, a digital interface for dental consultations; iTero TimeLapse technology for doctors or practitioners to compare a patient's historic 3D scans to the present-day scan; and subscription software, disposables, rents scanners, and pay per scan services. Align Technology, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.

United States20,435 employeesWebsite β†—

ALGN Deep Dive Analysis

Bottom Line

Verdict

Overvalued

Best for

Higher-risk tolerance investors

Watch out for

Premium valuation, High volatility, Earnings decline

Non-zero inputs

4/5

Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.

Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $112.08 by approximately 22.7%. Trailing P/E: 25.2x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 10.0% and return on equity of 10.2%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 4.3% and earnings growth of -12.1%. Risk profile: elevated market beta of 1.64. Consensus: buy.

Valuation, Growth & Risk

Valuation

Overvalued

P/E 25.2x

Price is above what fundamentals suggest.

Growth

Stable

Rev 4.3%

Revenue is moving sideways.

Risk

Elevated

Beta 1.64

Expect bigger swings than the market.

Valuation Snapshot

Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $112.08 by approximately 22.7%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 25.2x. Forward P/E of 11.6x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 2.5x. Price-to-book is 2.4x. EV/EBITDA sits at 10.2x. Market capitalization is $10.30B.

Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.

Growth & Profitability

Revenue is growing at 4.3% on a trailing basis. Earnings are compressing at -12.1%. Profit margins are 10.0%. Return on equity is 10.2%. Return on assets is 7.6%.

Why it matters: Stable revenue is fine, but watch for margin pressure that could limit profit growth.

Risk Profile

Beta of 1.64 indicates elevated market sensitivity. Net debt position is $-981748976.00.

Why it matters: A riskier stock can fall more in a downturn. Make sure your portfolio can handle the volatility.

Analyst Context

Analyst consensus target of $206.36 implies 42.4% upside. Target range spans $170.00 to $235.00. 14 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.

Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.

Data Methodology & Sources

Market Data (Facts)

  • Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
  • P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
  • Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
  • Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)

QuantSoar Model (Derived)

  • Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
  • Margin of Safety = (Fair Value βˆ’ Displayed Price) / Displayed Price Γ— 100
  • Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
  • Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to Β±25) + Whale sentiment (up to Β±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to Β±10) + Technical signal (up to Β±10). Analyst consensus is separate.

Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.

ALGN Overvalued

Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $112.08 by approximately 22.7%.

Frequently Asked Questions

ValuationIs ALGN stock overvalued right now?
Based on our discounted cash flow and relative valuation models, ALGN appears to trade above fair value by approximately 22.7%. This suggests the market may be pricing in elevated growth expectations or sentiment premiums.
ValuationWhat is ALGN fair value based on current fundamentals?
Our fair value estimate for ALGN is $112.08, derived from discounted cash flow, dividend discount, and relative valuation multiples. The estimate assumes a discount rate of 9.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%.
RiskHow risky is ALGN compared with other stocks?
Risk profile for ALGN: a beta of 1.64 indicates above-average market sensitivity. Investors should weigh macro exposure against their own risk tolerance.
GrowthIs ALGN still growing?
Latest trailing metrics show revenue growth of 4.3% and earnings contraction of 12.1%. Profit margins are 10.0%.
AnalystWhat do analysts think about ALGN?
Analyst consensus target is $206.36, implying 42.4% upside. The street recommendation is "buy".
CatalystWhat could change the investment case for ALGN?
Key catalysts include Healthcare sector dynamics, interest rate shifts, and company-specific earnings surprises. Monitor macro risk scores and analyst estimate revisions for early signals.

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About the Author

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) β€” Founder

Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.

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Investment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC

Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.