AES Stock Analysis
NYQ · Utilities · Utilities - Diversified
$14.87
-0.01 (-0.07%)
AES Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
AES Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
AES Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$10.61B
P/E Ratio
5.57
Forward P/E
6.27
PEG Ratio
0.81
P/B Ratio
2.15
EPS
$2.67
Dividend Yield
4.73%
52W Range
$12.97 – $17.65
Beta
0.95
Volume
0.3M
ROE
9.6%
Profit Margin
14.3%
Revenue Growth
19.9%
Gross Margin
20.3%
EV/EBITDA
12.18
Analyst Target
$15.00
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 5.6x. Forward P/E of 6.3x indicates stable forward expectations. Price-to-book is 2.15x. EV/EBITDA sits at 12.18x. Market capitalization is $10.61B. Revenue is growing at 19.9% on a trailing basis. Profit margins are 14.3%. Return on equity is 9.6%. Beta of 0.95 indicates market-average volatility.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Hold
Low Target
$15.00
Mean Target
$15.00
High Target
$15.00
Based on 8 analysts
About AES
The AES Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a power generation and utility company. It operates through four segments: Renewables, Utilities, Energy Infrastructure, and New Energy Technologies. The company owns and/or operates power plants to generate and sell power to customers, such as utilities, industrial users, and other intermediaries; owns and/or operates utilities to generate or purchase, distribute, transmit, and sell electricity to end-user customers in the residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental sectors; and generates and sells electricity on the wholesale market, as well as investments in technologies to support leading-edge greener energy solutions. It uses various fuels and technologies to generate electricity, such as solar, hydro, wind, coal, and gas, as well as renewables comprising energy storage and landfill gas. The company owns and/or operates a generation portfolio of approximately 34,740 megawatts and distributes power to 2.7 million customers. The company operates in the United States, Chile, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Mexico, Bulgaria, Panama, Colombia, Argentina, Vietnam, Jordan, Puerto Rico, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Applied Energy Services, Inc. and changed its name to The AES Corporation in April 2000. The AES Corporation was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Arlington, Virginia.
AES Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
UndervaluedBest for
Value-oriented investorsWatch out for
None flaggedNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
The AES Corporation (AES) trades below our multi-model fair value estimate of $28.03 by approximately 88.5%. Trailing P/E: 5.6x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 14.3% and return on equity of 9.6%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 19.9%. Risk profile: beta of 0.95. Consensus: hold.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Undervalued
P/E 5.6x
Price sits below our estimate of fair value.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 19.9%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Valuation Snapshot
The AES Corporation (AES) trades below our multi-model fair value estimate of $28.03 by approximately 88.5%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 5.6x. Forward P/E of 6.3x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-sales is 0.8x. Price-to-book is 2.1x. EV/EBITDA sits at 12.2x. Market capitalization is $10.61B.
Why it matters: Buying below fair value can create a margin of safety, but always check earnings quality.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 19.9% on a trailing basis. Profit margins are 14.3%. Return on equity is 9.6%. Return on assets is 3.0%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Beta of 0.95 indicates market-average volatility. Net debt position is $31.09B.
Why it matters: Lower risk means steadier returns, but often with less upside in bull markets.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $15.00 implies 0.9% upside. Target range spans $15.00 to $15.00. 8 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: hold.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
The combination of undervaluation and moderate risk may suit value-oriented investors.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
AES Undervalued
The AES Corporation (AES) trades below our multi-model fair value estimate of $28.03 by approximately 88.5%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs AES stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is AES fair value based on current fundamentals?
RiskHow risky is AES compared with other stocks?
GrowthIs AES still growing?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.