Autodesk (ADSK) Stock Analysis
NMS · Technology · Software - Application
$203.07
-6.33 (-3.02%)
ADSK Interactive Price Chart & Trading Signals
ADSK Stock Snapshot — Valuation, Risk & Technical Signals
ADSK Key Fundamentals, Analyst Targets & Company Profile
Key Financial Ratios
Market Cap
$42.44B
P/E Ratio
26.27
Forward P/E
14.29
PEG Ratio
0.81
P/B Ratio
12.55
EPS
$7.73
Dividend Yield
—
52W Range
$185.50 – $326.20
Beta
1.31
Volume
0.1M
ROE
53.9%
Profit Margin
21.1%
Revenue Growth
16.1%
Gross Margin
92.5%
EV/EBITDA
18.95
Analyst Target
$308.66
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 26.3x. Forward P/E of 14.3x implies earnings expansion expected. Price-to-book is 12.55x. EV/EBITDA sits at 18.95x. Market capitalization is $42.44B. Revenue is growing at 16.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 59.6%. Profit margins are 21.1%. Return on equity is 53.9%. Beta of 1.31 indicates elevated market sensitivity.
Analyst Consensus
Recommendation
Buy
Low Target
$215.00
Mean Target
$308.66
High Target
$375.00
Based on 34 analysts
About Autodesk
Autodesk, Inc. engages in the provision of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions worldwide. The company offers AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution; Autodesk Build, a toolset for managing, sharing, and accessing project documents for streamlined workflows between the office, trailer, and jobsite; Revit, a software built for building information modeling to help professionals design, build, and maintain energy-efficient buildings; Autodesk BIM Collaborate Pro, cloud-based design collaboration and design management software; BuildingConnected, a SaaS preconstruction solution; and Tandem, a cloud-based platform that transforms the built asset lifecycle. It also provides AutoCAD software, a customizable and extensible CAD application for professional design, drafting, detailing, and visualization; AutoCAD LT, a drafting and detailing software; Fusion, a 3D CAD, computer-aided manufacturing, and computer-aided engineering tool; Inventor, a software solution that offers a set of tools for 3D mechanical design, simulation, analysis, tooling, visualization, and documentation; product design and manufacturing collection tools; and Vault, a data management software for managing data in one central location, accelerate design processes, and streamline internal/external collaboration. The company offers Flow Production Tracking, a cloud-based production management software; Maya software that offers 3D modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing solutions for film and video artists, game developers, and design visualization professionals; Media and Entertainment Collection that offers end-to-end creative tools for entertainment creation; and 3ds Max software, which provides 3D modeling, animation, and rendering solutions. It sells its products and services through a network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
ADSK Deep Dive Analysis
Bottom Line
Verdict
OvervaluedBest for
Growth-oriented investorsWatch out for
Premium valuation, High volatilityNon-zero inputs
4/5Counts non-zero values for price, P/E, beta, macro risk, and revenue growth; zero may mean unavailable or be a genuine zero.
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $132.21 by approximately 34.9%. Trailing P/E: 26.3x. Profitability signals include profit margin of 21.1% and return on equity of 53.9%. Recent growth metrics show revenue growth of 16.1% and earnings growth of 59.6%. Risk profile: elevated market beta of 1.31. Consensus: buy.
Valuation, Growth & Risk
Valuation
Overvalued
P/E 26.3x
Price is above what fundamentals suggest.
Growth
Expanding
Rev 16.1%
Revenue is outpacing the market.
Risk
Elevated
Beta 1.31
Expect bigger swings than the market.
Valuation Snapshot
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $132.21 by approximately 34.9%. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio stands at 26.3x. Forward P/E of 14.3x suggests earnings compression ahead. Price-to-sales is 5.4x. Price-to-book is 12.5x. EV/EBITDA sits at 18.9x. Market capitalization is $42.44B.
Why it matters: Paying a premium works only if the company keeps growing faster than expected.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue is growing at 16.1% on a trailing basis. Earnings are expanding at 59.6%. Profit margins are 21.1%. Return on equity is 53.9%. Return on assets is 11.5%.
Why it matters: Growing revenue with healthy margins usually means the business is gaining market share or pricing power.
Risk Profile
Beta of 1.31 indicates elevated market sensitivity. Net debt position is $-450000128.00.
Why it matters: A riskier stock can fall more in a downturn. Make sure your portfolio can handle the volatility.
Analyst Context
Analyst consensus target of $308.66 implies 52.0% upside. Target range spans $215.00 to $375.00. 34 analysts cover the stock. Consensus recommendation: buy.
Why it matters: Analyst targets reflect what professionals expect over 12 months. A wide gap between price and target can mean the market disagrees with the consensus.
Investor Fit
Premium valuation is supported by above-average growth, potentially fitting growth-oriented strategies. Free cash flow yield of 5.6% is attractive for cash-flow-focused investors.
Takeaway: Match the stock's risk-reward profile with your own goals and time horizon. No single metric tells the whole story.
Data Methodology & Sources
Market Data (Facts)
- Price, volume, and market cap: Yahoo Finance (may be delayed)
- P/E, EPS, revenue, and debt: Yahoo Finance fundamentals
- Analyst estimates: Yahoo Finance (coverage and update times vary)
- Insider transactions: Yahoo Finance (reporting may be delayed)
QuantSoar Model (Derived)
- Fair value: available outputs from seven models; outliers are filtered using MAD (k=3.5), then combined with fixed model weights.
- Margin of Safety = (Fair Value − Displayed Price) / Displayed Price × 100
- Composite Score: 40% Value + 30% Momentum + 30% Risk
- Verdict Gauge: Base 50 + Valuation (up to ±25) + Whale sentiment (up to ±10) + Insider buying (+5) + Macro risk (up to ±10) + Technical signal (up to ±10). Analyst consensus is separate.
Model outputs are estimates based on available data and are not investment advice. Cross-check with primary sources before making investment decisions.
ADSK Overvalued
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) trades above our multi-model fair value estimate of $132.21 by approximately 34.9%.
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs ADSK stock overvalued right now?
ValuationWhat is ADSK fair value based on current fundamentals?
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CatalystWhat could change the investment case for ADSK?
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About the Author
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) — Founder
Phasakorn Traklang (Peach) is the founder of QuantSoar, bringing expertise in SEO, web development, and technical analytics to build an AI-powered investment platform accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Connect on LinkedInInvestment Disclaimer: Tax treatment can depend on tax residence, account type, and tax year. This information is general and is not personal tax or investment advice. SEC
Data: Yahoo Finance / SEC EDGAR / Alpha Vantage / Finnhub. AI outputs verified against source data.