Event Risk Radar
Forward-looking market event calendar with historical risk analysis. Probabilities are derived from 5+ years of historical data — not real-time signals.
Upcoming Events (Next 30 Days)
Events appear here once the calendar is populated by the scheduler.
Unlock Event Risk Predictions
Upgrade to Pro to see downside probabilities, expected returns, and confidence scores for each event. Elite users get regime-conditioned breakdowns, sample sizes, and suggested planning actions.
Methodology
Event predictions are computed from historical market behavior around recurring calendar events (quarter-end, options expiry, FOMC). We analyze a basket of top mega-cap stocks from our ScoreHistory database over a 5-year lookback period.
For each event, we compute the probability of a market downturn in the event window (2 days before to 3 days after), conditioned on the current market regime. Confidence scales with sample size — predictions with fewer than 3 historical samples are not generated.
This is a strategic planning tool, not a trading signal. Use it to anticipate periods of elevated risk and plan your portfolio accordingly.